What is ADSK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ADSK.

Stock Ratings / Technology / ADSK / options

VEEV (78) MSTR (37) TEAM (57) XYZ (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$249.61 +3.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.67

Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (91% profit margin, 31% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $52.17B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ADSK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $249.61 (+3.26% 1D, market cap $52.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADSK ranks #28 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADSK compare to VEEV and MSTR in the Technology sector?

▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ADSK carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.9x, gross margin of 91.0%, and ROIC of 30.8%. By comparison, VEEV (Veeva Systems Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 55.3x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $50.67B) and MSTR (Strategy Inc (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $55.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XYZ leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while ADSK leads on capital efficiency (30.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADSK?

▼

Per ADSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000769397), Autodesk Inc. generated $7.21B in revenue (+17.5% YoY), $1.12B in net income, and $2.41B in free cash flow against $12.47B in total assets and $2.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (91% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.68 (+0.83%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 33.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ADSK SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.4% FCF Margin ($2.41B FCF) & 91% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.82 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.2) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$231.14+5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$244.84-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$242.38+3% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$249.61+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADSK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, ADSK faces multiple-compression risk if 44.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 88.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($231.92) or 200D SMA ($233.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($269.83) toward Bear Floor ($204.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADSK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ADSK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ADSK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ADSK.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ADSK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ADSK
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ADSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.84%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $241.7H $249.6L $241.7C $249.6VOL 2.47M

RES: $252.6SUP: $204.3SMA50: $231.9SMA200: $233.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADSK Butterfly Map → + Track ADSK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADSK)

Technology Rank #28 of 714 ⚔️ VEEV vs ADSK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ADSK vs. VEEV, MSTR, TEAM, XYZ)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) ranks #28 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #59 by equity capitalization ($52.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XYZ leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while ADSK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.8% ROIC and 91.0% gross margin. VEEV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with ADSK at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ADSK ACTIVE Autodesk Inc.	B+	76/100	44.9x	91.0%	30.8%	+3.26%	$52.17B	Benchmark Subject
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc.	B+	78/100	55.3x	75.5%	11.1%	+0.84%	$50.67B	/veev-vs-adsk →
MSTR Strategy Inc (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	68.7%	-8.6%	-7.84%	$55.07B	/mstr-vs-adsk →
TEAM Atlassian Corporation	D+	57/100	—	82.8%	-2.5%	-6.07%	$48.34B	/team-vs-adsk →
XYZ Block Inc.	C	64/100	35.4x	42.8%	5.9%	-0.95%	$45.79B	/xyz-vs-adsk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000769397

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) reported GAAP revenue of $7.21B (+17.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.13B , and +31.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.12B, operating cash flow of $2.45B, and free cash flow of $2.41B (+53.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADSK closed FY2025 with $12.47B in total assets against $2.92B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.82, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$7.21B	$1.12B	$2.45B	$2.41B	$12.47B	$2.92B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$6.13B	$1.11B	$1.61B	$1.57B	$10.83B	$2.53B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$5.50B	$906.0M	$1.31B	$1.07B	$27.79B	$6.50B

3. ADSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ADSK compare to VEEV and MSTR in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADSK?

Where is ADSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADSK last traded at $249.61 (+3.26% on volume of 2,470,160 shares), positioning the stock +7.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($231.92) and +6.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($233.70). Across its 52-week range of $185.50 to $320.00, ADSK sits at the 47.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($234.88 to $264.34).

Direct Sub-Reports: ADSK RQD Cockpit ADSK 12M Forecast ADSK Earnings & Move ADSK Dividends & DRIP ADSK Insiders & 13F ADSK Whale Options ADSK Profit Sankey ADSK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADSK — Autodesk Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADSK scores 73 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars. The fundamental cash engine pillar earns 20 of 20, the strongest contribution, supported by ROIC of 30.8% and an FCF yield of 4.77%; for an investor, this indicates the business converts capital into returns at a high rate relative to the shares' market cost. The whale 13F flow pillar earns 11 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning, a moderate reading that suggests institutional interest is present but not dominant. The insider conviction pillar earns 15 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating a supportive but not maximal signal. The macro regime fit pillar earns 12 of 20, tied to a beta of 1.33 and sector sensitivity; for a prospective investor, this means the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, which amplifies both upside and drawdown exposure. The forensic balance sheet pillar earns 15 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 5.82, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.83. Taken together, the strongest engine is cash generation and capital efficiency, while the main valuation tradeoff is that the P/E (TTM) of 44.9 and EV/EBITDA of 31.5 are elevated, meaning upside depends on sustained earnings growth to justify the multiple. This brief is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Business

Autodesk Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to ADSK. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance report on stock movement and institutional positioning, a Trefis piece questioning the market's view of the company's cash yield, an Investing.com item on a day's rally flagged as a CATALYST, a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page, a Trefis report on a six-day winning streak showing the stock up 16%, and a Yahoo Finance report attributing a move to a "$22.6 Billion" figure. Most items are flagged YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE label, and one item is flagged GREEN under CATALYST. The underlying article bodies are — beyond headlines and summaries, so specific causal drivers cannot be confirmed from the source. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalysts are identified.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector classification is Technology and industry is Computer Software: Prepackaged Software, but sector correlation coefficients and peer relationships are — For a prospective investor, the absence of mapped links means second-order ripples cannot be traced from the source; the one observable sensitivity is the beta of 1.33, which indicates amplified movement relative to the market.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: — Holders data: — Consensus rating, price targets, SEC Form 4 insider trades, 13F institutional holdings, and Congressional trades are — as standalone figures, though the RQD rating references insider and institutional flow qualitatively in its pillar descriptions.

Open Questions

What are the specific drivers behind the cited news headlines, given that article bodies are not included in the source data?
What is the composition of Autodesk's FY 2025 revenue by product line and customer segment?
How do the P/E (TTM) of 44.9 and EV/EBITDA of 31.5 compare to peers, and what sector benchmarks apply?
What are the specific SEC Form 4 and 13F transactions underlying the insider and whale pillar scores?
Why is EPS reported as N/A for all three fiscal periods despite an EPS (TTM) of 5.38 in market data?

ADSK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADSK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know

Yahoo Finance report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 23h ago

Why Is Everyone Ignoring Autodesk Stock’s High Cash Yield?

Trefis report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

Why is Autodesk stock rallying today?

Investing.com report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

A 6-Day Winning Streak Has Autodesk Stock Up 16%

Trefis report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

A $22.6 Billion Reason Why Autodesk Stock Is Up Today

Yahoo Finance report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

Can Autodesk Stock Bounce Off The Current Support?

Trefis report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

PTC (PTC) vs Autodesk (ADSK): Which is a Better Stock to Buy?

Yahoo Finance report covering Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADSK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $249.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADSK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $294.54 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 30.8% and a fundamental cash engine pillar scoring 20 of 20 indicate strong capital efficiency per the RQD rating.

Here is why I am bullish on ADSK here at $249.61: ROIC of 30.8% and a fundamental cash engine pillar scoring 20 of 20 indicate strong capital efficiency per the RQD rating.. Compare ADSK's 21.9% operating margin and 30.8% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $237.13 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $249.61 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $207.18 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $249.61

A P/E (TTM) of 44.9 and EV/EBITDA of 31.5 with a beta of 1.33 leave the stock exposed to valuation compression and amplified drawdowns.

A P/E (TTM) of 44.9 and EV/EBITDA of 31.5 with a beta of 1.33 leave the stock exposed to valuation compression and amplified drawdowns.. Look at the math on ADSK: paying 44.9x trailing P/E for 30.8% ROIC and 21.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $219.66 before getting long.