Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4% Move

$293.84 +2.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $295.98

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (46% profit margin, 43% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $113.36B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Automatic Data Processing Inc. (NASDAQ: ADP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $293.84 (+2.71% 1D, market cap $113.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADP ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADP compare to INFY and WDAY in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), ADP carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.8x, gross margin of 46.0%, and ROIC of 43.4%. By comparison, INFY (Infosys Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $49.49B) and WDAY (Workday Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $47.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while ADP leads on capital efficiency (43.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADP?
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Per ADP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000008670), Automatic Data Processing Inc. generated $20.56B in revenue (+7.1% YoY), $4.08B in net income, and $4.01B in free cash flow against $84.64B in total assets and $3.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (46% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $295.99 (+0.73%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 19.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C-
Cash (16)Whales (16)SEC (9)Macro (15)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$367 Bull$311 Base$241 Bear
📬 FREE ADP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADP SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19.5% FCF Margin ($4.01B FCF) & 46% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$275.90+6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$292.75+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$293.11+0.2% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$293.84+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ADP faces multiple-compression risk if 27.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 43.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($277.42) or 200D SMA ($240.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($311.03) toward Bear Floor ($240.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4% Swing Band

±$11.75 Expected Swing
$282.09 (-4%)Spot $293.84$305.59 (+4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ADP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $10.30 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.1%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$20.56B$4.08B$4.01B46%
FY 20242024-06-30$19.20B$3.75B$3.29B45.4%
FY 20232023-06-30$18.01B$3.41B$3.40B46%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ADP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ADP
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.05%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $285.4H $293.8L $285.4C $293.8VOL 2.24M
RES: $312.7SUP: $249.9SMA50: $277.4SMA200: $240.6
$316.7$286.3$255.9$225.5$195.1RES $312.7SUP $249.9$293.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADP)

Technology Rank #78 of 714 ⚔️ INFY vs ADP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ADP vs. INFY, WDAY, ZS, CTSH)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #40 by equity capitalization ($113.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTSH leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while ADP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.4% ROIC and 46.0% gross margin. CTSH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with ADP at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADP ACTIVE
Automatic Data Processing Inc.
B- 71/100 27.8x 46.0% 43.4% +2.71% $113.36B Benchmark Subject
INFY
Infosys Limited
C 65/100 21.7x — 14.9% +2.87% $49.49B /infy-vs-adp →
WDAY
Workday Inc.
B- 70/100 68.0x — 6.1% +1.21% $47.11B /wday-vs-adp →
ZS
Zscaler Inc.
C+ 67/100 — 76.9% -3.1% -4.03% $40.41B /zs-vs-adp →
CTSH
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation
A- 83/100 12.6x — 19.6% +4.14% $28.16B /ctsh-vs-adp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000008670

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) reported GAAP revenue of $20.56B (+7.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.20B , and +14.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.08B, operating cash flow of $4.94B, and free cash flow of $4.01B (+21.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADP closed FY2025 with $84.64B in total assets against $3.98B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.77, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $20.56B $4.08B $4.94B $4.01B $84.64B $3.98B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $19.20B $3.75B $4.16B $3.29B $64.10B $2.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $18.01B $3.41B $4.21B $3.40B $62.35B $14.59B

3. ADP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Automatic Data Processing Inc. (NASDAQ: ADP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $293.84 (+2.71% 1D, market cap $113.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADP ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADP compare to INFY and WDAY in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), ADP carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.8x, gross margin of 46.0%, and ROIC of 43.4%. By comparison, INFY (Infosys Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $49.49B) and WDAY (Workday Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $47.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while ADP leads on capital efficiency (43.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADP?

Per ADP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000008670), Automatic Data Processing Inc. generated $20.56B in revenue (+7.1% YoY), $4.08B in net income, and $4.01B in free cash flow against $84.64B in total assets and $3.98B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (46% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADP last traded at $293.84 (+2.71% on volume of 3,608,842 shares), positioning the stock +5.92% above its 50-day simple moving average ($277.42) and +22.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($240.63). Across its 52-week range of $188.16 to $309.40, ADP sits at the 87.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($282.09 to $305.59).

ADP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ADP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is ADP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4% event move for ADP, spanning a range between $282.09 and $305.59.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADP — Automatic Data Processing Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADP scores 71 out of 100, graded B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 43.4% and an FCF yield of 3.54%. For an investor, the high ROIC indicates the business generates strong returns on invested capital, while the modest FCF yield signals that cash generation is priced into a premium valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score suggests larger holders have been net accumulating, a supportive signal rather than proof of future returns.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Insider activity is described as a cluster pattern; the underlying transaction detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.35 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. For an investor, this means the stock has historically amplified market moves and its fit depends on the macro regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.77, the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.62. This is the weakest pillar: the perfect Piotroski score indicates strong improvement signals, but the Altman Z-Score sits in a range that warrants caution about financial distress risk.

Upside drivers per the source data: high ROIC, strong institutional and insider flow signals, and a perfect Piotroski score. Valuation tradeoffs: P/E (TTM) of 27.8 and EV/EBITDA of 19.9 are elevated relative to the forward P/E of 25.9 and the 2.12% dividend yield. The stock trades in a 52-week range of $188.16 to $309.4, placing the current price of $286.08 in the upper portion of that range.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$286.08$113.36B27.825.919.910.32.12%1.35$188.16 - $309.443.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$20560.9M$4814.0M$4079.7MN/A$4014.5M$2424.7M$3976.4M
FY 2024$19202.6M$4427.4M$3752.0MN/A$3293.5M$2216.4M$2982.0M
FY 2023$18012.2M$4026.2M$3412.0MN/A$3397.1MN/A$14589.4M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, and net income each rose across the three reported periods, and FY 2025 free cash flow was $4014.5M. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 43.4%, the Altman Z-Score is 1.77, and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.62. The FY 2023 debt figure of $14589.4M differs sharply from the FY 2024 and FY 2025 figures, and the source data does not explain the discrepancy.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The recent news feed contains six items, all tagged relatedSymbol ADP and each carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines are: a Yahoo! Finance Canada stock-price and news page; a ChartMill piece titled "A Quality Stock Built for Long-Term Investors"; a TradingView piece titled "Reasons Why Investors Can Consider Buying ADP Stock Now"; a Trefis piece titled "Has Buying ADP Stock At A High Paid Off?"; a Yahoo Finance piece on a "Hidden Earnings Advantage From Higher Interest Rates"; and a ChartMill piece titled "A Quality Dividend Stock for Income Investors." The feed summaries are generic and do not state specific events. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, there are no butterfly links, and there are no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the Roarable RQD rating are the Altman Z-Score of 1.77 and the elevated valuation multiples noted above.

Open Questions

  • What drove the debt figure of $14589.4M in FY 2023 versus $2982.0M in FY 2024, and is that a reporting or structural change?
  • The EPS line is N/A across all reported periods; what is the reported EPS for each fiscal year?
  • Which specific Form 4 insider transactions and 13F positions make up the cluster flow cited in the RQD rating?
  • What specific events, if any, do the news items reference, given that their summaries are generic?
  • What are the company's primary revenue sources and customer segments?

ADP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $293.84?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $337.57 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADP (B- • RQD 71/100) a Buy at $286.08?

Welcome to the ADP (Automatic Data Processing Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in EDP Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (43.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $220.28 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $286.08

Pump the brakes on ADP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADP, but look at what you are paying: 27.8x trailing P/E with 46.0% gross margins. Unless Automatic Data Processing Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $360.46 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $286.08

ADP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $286.08 (52-wk range $188.16 - $309.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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