Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$417.11 -3.73% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $415.31

Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (62% profit margin, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $209.95B
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Analog Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: ADI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $417.11 (-3.73% 1D, market cap $209.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADI ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADI compare to MRVL and ARM in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ADI carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.6x, gross margin of 61.5%, and ROIC of 6.1%. By comparison, MRVL (Marvell Technology Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 71.7x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $191.46B) and ARM (Arm Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $243.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMAT leads on earnings multiple (47.8x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADI?
β–Ό

Per ADI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-01, CIK 0000006281), Analog Devices Inc. generated $11.02B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $2.27B in net income, and $4.28B in free cash flow against $47.99B in total assets and $7.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $415.32 (-0.43%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 38.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (19)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$521 Bull$442 Base$342 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ADI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ADI SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.8% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.30 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$414.70-4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$397.05+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$425.35-1.9% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$417.11+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, ADI faces multiple-compression risk if 92.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 93x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($390.99) or 200D SMA ($373.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($441.51) toward Bear Floor ($342.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADIβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œADI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ADI)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ADI.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ADI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ADI
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.06%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $428.3H $433.3L $417.1C $417.1VOL 3.16M
RES: $434.7SUP: $340.4SMA50: $391.0SMA200: $373.5
$457.4$409.8$362.3$314.7$267.1RES $434.7SUP $340.4$417.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADI)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ADI vs. MRVL, ARM, TXN, AMAT)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #29 by equity capitalization ($209.95B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMAT leads on earnings valuation at 47.8x trailing P/E, while AMAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and 48.7% gross margin. TXN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with ADI at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADI ACTIVE
Analog Devices Inc.
B- 71/100 92.6x 61.5% 6.1% -3.73% $209.95B Benchmark Subject
MRVL
Marvell Technology Inc.
D+ 57/100 71.7x 51.0% 6.7% -10.05% $191.46B /mrvl-vs-adi β†’
ARM
Arm Holdings plc
D+ 58/100 β€” 96.0% 3.7% -9.97% $243.42B /arm-vs-adi β†’
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
B+ 79/100 57.2x 57.0% 17.9% -3.40% $285.96B /txn-vs-adi β†’
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc.
C+ 67/100 47.8x 48.7% 24.5% -7.49% $334.63B /amat-vs-adi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-11-01 β€’ CIK 0000006281

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-01), Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) reported GAAP revenue of $11.02B (+16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.43B , and -10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.27B, operating cash flow of $4.81B, and free cash flow of $4.28B (+37.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADI closed FY2025 with $47.99B in total assets against $7.24B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.30, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-01 $11.02B $2.27B $4.81B $4.28B $47.99B $7.24B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-02 $9.43B $1.64B $3.85B $3.12B $47.97B $6.62B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-28 $12.31B $3.31B $4.82B $4.26B $115.47B $27.02B

3. ADI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Analog Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: ADI) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $417.11 (-3.73% 1D, market cap $209.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADI ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADI compare to MRVL and ARM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ADI carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 92.6x, gross margin of 61.5%, and ROIC of 6.1%. By comparison, MRVL (Marvell Technology Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 71.7x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $191.46B) and ARM (Arm Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $243.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMAT leads on earnings multiple (47.8x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADI?

Per ADI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-01, CIK 0000006281), Analog Devices Inc. generated $11.02B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $2.27B in net income, and $4.28B in free cash flow against $47.99B in total assets and $7.24B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADI last traded at $417.11 (-3.73% on volume of 7,877,428 shares), positioning the stock +6.68% above its 50-day simple moving average ($390.99) and +11.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($373.45). Across its 52-week range of $223.47 to $445.91, ADI sits at the 87.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.8% ($388.75 to $445.47).

ADI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is ADI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ADI.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 71/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADI β€” Analog Devices Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADI scores 71 out of 100, earning a letter grade of B- and the verdict label "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 6.1%; FCF yield 2.04%); Whale 13F Flow at 19/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 14/20 (Beta 1.26; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 6.3; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.21).

The strongest pillar is institutional flow, which is the main driver of the rating's upside case. The weakest pillar is insider conviction, which signals limited insider-side confirmation relative to institutional positioning. The forensic balance sheet scores are solid, with the Piotroski F-Score at its maximum and a low Debt/Equity ratio. The cash-engine pillar is moderate: a 6.1% ROIC and a 2.04% FCF yield are both modest relative to the stock's valuation. Per the market data, the trailing P/E of 92.6 and EV/EBITDA of 63.3 indicate that the market is pricing in substantial future growth, so the valuation tradeoff is that a prospective investor is paying a premium for expected earnings expansion rather than current cash generation. Macro fit is moderate, with a beta of 1.26 implying above-market sensitivity to broad market swings. This brief is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$433.28$209.95B92.677.863.34.680.92%1.26$223.47 - $445.916.1%

Business

Per the profile, Analog Devices Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mechanics. The profile confirms a market capitalization of $210.0B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 61.5%, an operating margin of 26.6%, and a net margin of 20.6%.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$11019.7M$2932.5M$2267.3MN/A$4278.6M$2905.9M$7240.3M
FY 2024$9427.2M$2032.8M$1635.3MN/A$3122.1M$2350.0M$6618.6M
FY 2023$12305.5M$3823.1M$3314.6MN/A$4263.9MN/A$27020.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $9427.2M in FY 2024 to $11019.7M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $1635.3M to $2267.3M over the same period. Reported FY 2023 revenue was $12305.5M, above FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 6.1%, and the forensic pillar cites an Altman Z of 6.3, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.21. Per the SEC financials, reported debt fell from $27020.9M in FY 2023 to $7240.3M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9 (maximum). EPS for each period is listed as N/A in the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six headlines relate to ADI, each labeled with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact tag. The headlines are: "Why Analog Devices (ADI) Is Back In The Spotlight" (Yahoo Finance); "ADI: Analog Devices Inc. Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas" (Stocktwits); "Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI): A Dividend Quality Standout for Income Investors" (ChartMill); "Analog Devices Inc Stock (ADI) Moved Down by 3.50% on Oct 7: A Full Analysis" (TradingKey); "Why Is Analog Devices Stock Going Up?" (Trefis); and "Analog Devices (Nasdaq:ADI) - Stock Analysis" (Simply Wall St). The summaries are generic and do not specify catalysts, quantified events, or risk items. Risk watch items and specific fundamental catalysts are not available in source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals, so no signal-based catalysts are attributed.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are not available in source data. Sector correlations beyond the Technology/Semiconductors classification are not available in source data. Second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The Macro Regime Fit pillar (beta 1.26) provides the only quantified sensitivity reference in the source material.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data is not available in source data. Holder data (including SEC Form 4 insider, 13F whale, or Congressional trades) is not available in source data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation is scored at 19/20 and insider conviction at 9/20, but the underlying holder records are not provided.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific product lines, end markets, and customer concentrations driving the reported revenue, and how do they map to the FY 2025 increase?
  • Why are EPS values listed as N/A for all three periods, and what is the reconciled per-share earnings history?
  • What explains the reported drop in total debt from $27020.9M (FY 2023) to $7240.3M (FY 2025), and does cash for FY 2023 remain unavailable?
  • What specific holders and transaction sizes underlie the 19/20 institutional and 9/20 insider pillar scores?
  • What forward catalysts, guidance, or risk factors are cited in primary filings, since the news summaries are generic?

ADI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ADI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $417.11?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $511.27 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADI (B- β€’ RQD 71/100) a Buy at $433.28?

Welcome to the ADI (Analog Devices Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (92.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $329.29 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $433.28

Pump the brakes on ADI β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADI, but look at what you are paying: 92.6x trailing P/E with 61.5% gross margins. Unless Analog Devices Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $506.94 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $433.28

ADI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $433.28 (52-wk range $223.47 - $445.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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