Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$21.44 -4.63% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.22

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.48B
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As of 2026-11-02, Adeia Inc. (NASDAQ: ADEA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $21.44 (-4.63% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, ADEA ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADEA compare to LBTYK and LBTYA in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Cable & Other Pay Television Services), ADEA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 17.2%. By comparison, LBTYK (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class C)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.59B) and LBTYA (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADEA leads on earnings multiple (22.3x) while LILA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADEA?
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Per ADEA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001803696), Adeia Inc. generated $443.4M in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $111.1M in net income, and $156.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $397.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.22 (-1.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 35.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$36 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ADEA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADEA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ADEA SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.03 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$23.21-9.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$21.05+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$21.43+0% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$21.44+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (71) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADEA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, ADEA faces multiple-compression risk if 22.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.33) or 200D SMA ($25.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.92) toward Bear Floor ($17.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADEAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œADEA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How ADEA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$156.3M (35.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$443.4MGross Profit $230.6M (52%)Cost of Sales $212.8MOp Profit $175.0M (39.5%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $55.6MNet Profit$111.1M (25.1%)Tax/Other $63.9M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $388.8M
FY24
Rev $376.0M
FY25
Rev $443.4M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$443.4M52%39.5%$111.1M$156.3M17.2%
FY 2024$376.0M52%34.2%$64.6M$210.6M13.2%
FY 2023$388.8M52%35%$67.4M$152.8M17.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADEA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ADEA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADEA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.25%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $22.75H $22.75L $21.44C $21.44VOL 625.7K
RES: $24.10SUP: $19.01SMA50: $24.33SMA200: $25.63
$35.48$30.77$26.06$21.35$16.64RES $24.10SUP $19.01$21.442026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADEA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADEA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADEA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADEA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADEA)

Communication Services Rank #22 of 132 βš”οΈ LBTYK vs ADEA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (ADEA vs. LBTYK, LBTYA, LBTYB, LILA)

Industry: Cable & Other Pay Television Services (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adeia Inc. (ADEA) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #54 by equity capitalization ($2.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADEA leads on earnings valuation at 22.3x trailing P/E, while LILA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ADEA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADEA ACTIVE
Adeia Inc.
C 63/100 22.3x β€” 17.2% -4.63% $2.48B Benchmark Subject
LBTYK
Liberty Global Ltd. (Class C)
E 34/100 β€” 65.8% -0.1% +1.05% $2.59B /lbtyk-vs-adea β†’
LBTYA
Liberty Global Ltd. (Class A)
D- 35/100 β€” 65.8% -0.1% +0.91% $2.63B /lbtya-vs-adea β†’
LBTYB
Liberty Global Ltd. (Class B)
D- 37/100 β€” 65.8% -0.1% 0.00% $3.75B /lbtyb-vs-adea β†’
LILA
Liberty Latin America Ltd. (Class A)
C 63/100 β€” β€” 85.0% +0.96% $1.64B /lila-vs-adea β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001803696

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Adeia Inc. (ADEA) reported GAAP revenue of $443.4M (+17.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $376.0M , and +14.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $111.1M, operating cash flow of $158.1M, and free cash flow of $156.3M (-25.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADEA closed FY2025 with $1.04B in total assets against $397.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.03, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $443.4M $111.1M $158.1M $156.3M $1.04B $397.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $376.0M $64.6M $212.5M $210.6M $1.10B $454.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $388.8M $67.4M $152.8M $152.8M β€” β€”

3. ADEA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADEA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Adeia Inc. (NASDAQ: ADEA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $21.44 (-4.63% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, ADEA ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADEA compare to LBTYK and LBTYA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Cable & Other Pay Television Services), ADEA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 17.2%. By comparison, LBTYK (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class C)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.59B) and LBTYA (Liberty Global Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.1%, cap $2.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADEA leads on earnings multiple (22.3x) while LILA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADEA?

Per ADEA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001803696), Adeia Inc. generated $443.4M in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $111.1M in net income, and $156.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $397.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADEA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADEA last traded at $21.44 (-4.63% on volume of 1,399,929 shares), positioning the stock -11.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.33) and -16.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.63). Across its 52-week range of $11.61 to $34.34, ADEA sits at the 43.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.6% ($19.60 to $23.28).

ADEA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Adeia Inc. (ADEA)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ADEA converted $443.4M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 39.5% operating margin, and $156.3M in free cash flow (35.2% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADEA β€” Adeia Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADEA scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 17.2% and an FCF yield of 6.3%. Strong capital returns are a meaningful upside driver, but the pillar is not at its maximum, indicating the cash-generation case is solid rather than exceptional on the scoring framework.
  • Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. Investors should note that institutional support is the weakest pillar in this rating, and the source data contains no holder detail to explain it.
  • Insider Conviction (17 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is the strongest pillar. This is a notable positive signal, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is moderate. ADEA is expected to move roughly in line with the broader market, offering neither a defensive cushion nor an extra-volatility premium.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z 4.03, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.83 indicate a financially sound balance sheet with strong forensic scores.

Investor implications: The composite profile is a balanced one. Upside drivers include the strong insider-conviction reading and the high forensic balance-sheet scores. The main valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 22.3 against a forward P/E of 18.7 per the market data, so the multiple depends on earnings growth being delivered. The weak institutional-flow pillar suggests limited broad professional conviction at the time of this data. This analysis is educational and not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$22.48$2.48B22.318.715.91.010.88%1.0$11.61 - $34.3417.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$443.4M$175.0M$111.1MN/A$156.3M$73.1M$397.5M
FY 2024$376.0M$128.6M$64.6MN/A$210.6M$78.8M$454.4M
FY 2023$388.8M$136.2M$67.4MN/A$152.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $376.0M in FY 2024 to $443.4M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $64.6M to $111.1M. Market data reports an operating margin of 39.5%, a net margin of 25.1%, and a gross margin of 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.03 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.83. Reported FCF declined from $210.6M in FY 2024 to $156.3M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to ADEA:

  • "Why Adeia (ADEA) Is Back In The Spotlight" (Yahoo Finance, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • "Is Adeia Inc (ADEA) Overvalued After 5.9% Rally? GF Value Says O" (GuruFocus, CATALYST, GREEN). The headline references a 5.9% rally, which the feed reports but does not further detail.
  • "Adeia Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:ADEA" (TradingView, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • "Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Stock Forecasts" (Yahoo Finance, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • "Adeia (ADEA) Renews TCL Deal On A Narrative That Says The Stock Looks Undervalued" (Simply Wall St, MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). This headline references a renewed TCL deal, a potential commercial catalyst; the source does not provide its terms.
  • "Why Did IBM Stock Beat Gartner Over Five Years?" (Trefis, CATALYST, GREEN). This headline does not appear to concern ADEA directly despite being tagged to its symbol.

Risk watch items per the feed: the current price of $22.48 reflects a -1.19% change, and the stock sits well below its 52-week high of $34.34. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms and financial impact of the renewed TCL deal referenced in the news feed?
  • What drove the decline in FCF from $210.6M in FY 2024 to $156.3M in FY 2025 despite higher net income?
  • Why are FY 2025 EPS and gross margin reported as N/A or 0%, and what does the missing EPS imply about per-share earnings?
  • What is the composition of institutional holders behind the low Whale 13F Flow pillar score?
  • What explains the sharp move in the 52-week range from $11.61 to $34.34 and the current price's position within it?

ADEA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Adeia Inc. (ADEA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ADEA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADEA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $21.44?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADEA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADEA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $24.28 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADEA (C β€’ RQD 63/100) a Buy at $22.48?

Welcome to the ADEA (Adeia Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Cable & Other Pay Television Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.31 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $22.48

Pump the brakes on ADEA β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADEA, but look at what you are paying: 22.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Adeia Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.32 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $22.48

ADEA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADEA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Cable & Other Pay Television Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $22.48 (52-wk range $11.61 - $34.34), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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