Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.9% Move

$100.07 -10.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.96

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ACLS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $100.07 (-10.67% 1D, market cap $3.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ACLS ranks #286 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACLS compare to ACMR and LPL in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ACLS carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.8x, gross margin of 44.9%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, ACMR (ACM Research Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $3.43B) and LPL (LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACLS leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while ACLS leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACLS?
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Per ACLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001113232), Axcelis Technologies Inc. generated $839.0M in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $120.2M in net income, and $107.0M in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.96 (-2.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 12.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$203 Bull$99 Base$77 Bear
📬 FREE ACLS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ACLS SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.8% FCF Margin ($107.0M FCF) & 44.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.5) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$127.63-12.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$111.21-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$109.11-8.3% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$100.07-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACLS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, ACLS faces multiple-compression risk if 28.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($118.21) or 200D SMA ($123.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($99.17) toward Bear Floor ($77.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACLS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ACLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.9% Swing Band

±$9.91 Expected Swing
$90.16 (-9.9%)Spot $100.07$109.98 (+9.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ACLS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 56/100

Trailing EPS: $3.89 • YoY Revenue Growth: -17.6%

Model Bullish Setup (56/100)Model Risk Weight (44/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$839.0M$120.2M$107.0M44.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.02B$201.0M$128.6M44.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.13B$246.3M$156.9M44.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACLS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ACLS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ACLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.46%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $113.7H $113.7L $100.1C $100.1VOL 284.8K
RES: $152.7SUP: $93.79SMA50: $118.2SMA200: $123.2
$201.1$170.8$140.4$110.1$79.80RES $152.7SUP $93.79$100.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACLS)

Technology Rank #286 of 714 ⚔️ ACMR vs ACLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ACLS vs. ACMR, LPL, VECO, PI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) ranks #286 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #240 by equity capitalization ($3.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACLS leads on earnings valuation at 28.8x trailing P/E, while ACLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 44.9% gross margin. PI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with ACLS at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACLS ACTIVE
Axcelis Technologies Inc.
D+ 56/100 28.8x 44.9% 10.6% -10.67% $3.46B Benchmark Subject
ACMR
ACM Research Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 36.5x 44.4% 9.8% -7.75% $3.43B /acmr-vs-acls →
LPL
LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES
D 44/100 — — — -4.43% $2.71B /lpl-vs-acls →
VECO
Veeco Instruments Inc.
D 51/100 73.9x 40.0% 3.0% -9.18% $2.62B /veco-vs-acls →
PI
Impinj Inc.
C- 60/100 — 52.5% -0.1% -1.58% $5.63B /pi-vs-acls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001113232

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) reported GAAP revenue of $839.0M (-17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.02B , and -25.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $120.2M, operating cash flow of $118.3M, and free cash flow of $107.0M (-16.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACLS closed FY2025 with $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $839.0M $120.2M $118.3M $107.0M $1.36B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.02B $201.0M $140.8M $128.6M $1.35B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.13B $246.3M $156.9M $156.9M — —

3. ACLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ACLS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $100.07 (-10.67% 1D, market cap $3.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ACLS ranks #286 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACLS compare to ACMR and LPL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ACLS carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.8x, gross margin of 44.9%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, ACMR (ACM Research Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $3.43B) and LPL (LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACLS leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while ACLS leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACLS?

Per ACLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001113232), Axcelis Technologies Inc. generated $839.0M in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $120.2M in net income, and $107.0M in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACLS last traded at $100.07 (-10.67% on volume of 524,452 shares), positioning the stock -15.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($118.21) and -18.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($123.21). Across its 52-week range of $73.60 to $193.78, ACLS sits at the 22.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($90.16 to $109.98).

ACLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ACLS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ACLS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.9% event move for ACLS, spanning a range between $90.16 and $109.98.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ACLS — Axcelis Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 56, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Per the Roarable RQD rating, the five pillars score as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.6% and an FCF yield of 3.09%. For a prospective investor, these are moderate returns on capital and a modest cash yield relative to a $112.02 share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates weaker institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broad market; the low score signals limited regime-fit advantage.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 8.43, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and the main support for the rating.

Valuation tradeoffs are notable. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 28.8 and an EV/EBITDA of 25.7, while the FCF yield is 3.09%. Upside drivers would require earnings recovery, since reported revenue and net income declined across the three fiscal years shown. The verdict reflects weak fundamentals on the RQD scale and suggests the rating framework does not view the current setup favorably.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
112.02$3.46B28.826.825.73.890%1.0$73.6 - $193.7810.6%

Business

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the company profile. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $3.5B. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or revenue model detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$839.0M$119.3M$120.2MN/A$107.0M$145.5MN/A
FY 2024$1017.9M$210.8M$201.0MN/A$128.6M$123.5MN/A
FY 2023$1130.6M$265.8M$246.3MN/A$156.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $1130.6M in FY 2023 to $839.0M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $246.3M to $120.2M over the same span. Per the market data, the gross margin is 44.9%, the operating margin is 14.2%, and the net margin is 14.3%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 10.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 8.43, and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. The Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 per the RQD rating indicates a modest leverage position, with cash of $145.5M reported for FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market-wire coverage (negative tone): Per the news feed, a Yahoo Finance report describes the stock sliding while the market rose, and a GuruFocus report describes the stock down 3.5% and still overvalued. Both are flagged YELLOW.
  • Positive catalyst: Per the news feed, a Yahoo Finance report describes expansion in Korea and asks whether the stock is a bargain. This item is flagged GREEN and tagged CATALYST.
  • Merger timing update: Per the news feed, a TradingView report describes an update from Axcelis Technologies and Veeco Instruments on the expected timing of a merger closing. This item is flagged YELLOW. Not available in source data for deal terms or closing date.
  • Other coverage: Per the news feed, Benzinga reports a 15-year ownership return and Simply Wall St asks whether the stock trades at a premium to earnings. Both are flagged YELLOW.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms and expected closing timeline of the Axcelis–Veeco merger referenced in the news feed?
  • What drove the revenue and net income decline from FY 2023 through FY 2025, and is the trend expected to reverse?
  • What is the company's debt level in dollar terms, since the debt field is N/A across all periods?
  • What are the EPS figures by reporting period, since the EPS fields are N/A in the financial history?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders behind the RQD whale and insider scores?

ACLS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACLS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACLS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $100.07?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACLS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACLS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $120.98 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ACLS (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $112.02?

Welcome to the ACLS (Axcelis Technologies Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $92.98 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $112.02

Pump the brakes on ACLS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ACLS, but look at what you are paying: 28.8x trailing P/E with 44.9% gross margins. Unless Axcelis Technologies Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $128.82 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $112.02

ACLS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ACLS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $112.02 (52-wk range $73.60 - $193.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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