Abits Group Inc (ABTS) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.19 -0.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.19

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Abits Group Inc (NASDAQ: ABTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $3.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABTS ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABTS compare to SNTG and ALP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 37.7%. By comparison, SNTG (Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $4.8M) and ALP (Alpha Compute Corp) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ABTS leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTS?
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Per ABTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864055), Abits Group Inc generated $9.1M in revenue (+36.0% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$1.7M in free cash flow against $10.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.19 (-0.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.4% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ABTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABTS SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$1.25-6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$1.17-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$1.16+2.6% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$1.19-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABTS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.28) and Max Pain ($1.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ABTS Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ABTS)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ABTS. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.59%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $1.15H $1.20L $1.15C $1.19VOL 18.9K
RES: $1.75SUP: $1.11SMA50: $1.28SMA200: $1.74
$4.87$3.76$2.64$1.53$0.41RES $1.75SUP $1.11$1.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +36.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTS)

Financials Rank #685 of 1096 ⚔️ SNTG vs ABTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTS vs. SNTG, ALP, BTCT, PWCM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Abits Group Inc (ABTS) ranks #685 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #1085 by equity capitalization ($3.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ABTS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ABTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABTS ACTIVE
Abits Group Inc
D 50/100 — — 37.7% -0.83% $3.9M Benchmark Subject
SNTG
Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -24.3% -0.59% $4.8M /sntg-vs-abts →
ALP
Alpha Compute Corp
D 46/100 — — — -0.61% $5.1M /alp-vs-abts →
BTCT
BTC Digital Ltd.
E 25/100 — — -18.9% -5.30% $8.4M /btct-vs-abts →
PWCM
PowerCompute Inc.
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -1.31% $1.7M /pwcm-vs-abts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001864055

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Abits Group Inc (ABTS) reported GAAP revenue of $9.1M (+36.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.7M , and +442.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.9M, operating cash flow of $1.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.7M (-148.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTS closed FY2025 with $10.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $9.1M -$2.9M $1.4M -$1.7M $10.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.7M -$909.7K $1.9M -$679.6K $11.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.7M -$12.6M $1.8M $1.8M — —

3. ABTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Abits Group Inc (NASDAQ: ABTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $3.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABTS ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABTS compare to SNTG and ALP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 37.7%. By comparison, SNTG (Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $4.8M) and ALP (Alpha Compute Corp) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ABTS leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTS?

Per ABTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864055), Abits Group Inc generated $9.1M in revenue (+36.0% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$1.7M in free cash flow against $10.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABTS last traded at $1.19 (-0.83% on volume of 2,222 shares), positioning the stock -7.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.28) and -31.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.74). Across its 52-week range of $0.76 to $7.43, ABTS sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($1.06 to $1.32).

ABTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ABTS insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ABTS leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ABTS — Abits Group Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:53:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ABTS carries an RQD Score of 50 with a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 37.7%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are institutional flow and insider conviction, which together indicate limited sponsorship in the source data. The strongest reading is the 37.7% ROIC, but the 0% FCF yield per the market data means that return metric is not converting into free cash returned to holders. The Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 4/9 sit in a middling forensic range rather than a clearly strong one. Any upside thesis would need to rest on improved cash conversion and renewed institutional interest, neither of which the rating currently supports.

Business

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry, per the profile. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Net income is negative and the operating margin is 40.3% per the market data. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$9.1M$3.7M$-2.9MN/A$-1.7M$0.1MN/A
FY 2024$6.7M$3.4M$-0.9MN/A$-0.7M$1.1MN/A
FY 2023$1.7M$1.2M$-12.6MN/A$1.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1.7M in FY 2023 to $9.1M in FY 2025, while net income remained negative in each period. Per the market data, net margin is -31.4% and gross margin is 0%. Reported cash declined from $1.1M to $0.1M across FY 2024 to FY 2025, and FCF was negative in the two most recent periods. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines include an analyst-ratings report from Moomoo, a report that Shakawe faces daily share-sale limits under a new agreement with Abits Group, a SEC filing dated Nov 2, 2026, GlobeNewswire's unaudited first-half 2026 results, an initial statement of beneficial ownership, and a Kalkine Media report on Stephen Faucetta's initial SEC ownership filing as CEO. All items are flagged YELLOW with impact label MARKET WIRE. The share-sale agreement is a notable watch item because it bears on share supply. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products and customers generate ABTS revenue, given the profile gives only sector and industry labels?
  • Why is FCF negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025 despite positive operating income, and what drives the gap?
  • What are the terms and scale of the Shakawe share-sale agreement, and how much share supply does it add?
  • What are the trailing and forward EPS and valuation multiples, which the source marks as unavailable?
  • What are the debt levels and cash position at the latest period, given debt is reported as N/A?

ABTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Abits Group Inc (ABTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.19?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABTS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ABTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.30 (+8.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ABTS (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $1.20?

Welcome to the ABTS (Abits Group Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.96 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $1.20

Pump the brakes on ABTS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ABTS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Abits Group Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.54 (+28.3%)
Spot @ $1.20

ABTS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ABTS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.20 (52-wk range $0.76 - $7.43), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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