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Absci Corporation (ABSI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$9.69 -12.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.45

Absci Corporation (ABSI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.91B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Absci Corporation (NASDAQ: ABSI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.69 (-12.94% 1D, market cap $1.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ABSI ranks #382 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABSI compare to OABI and NRC in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Commercial Physical & Biological Resarch), ABSI carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OABI (OmniAb Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.6%, cap $742.9M) and NRC (NRC Health) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 44.8x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $527.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRC leads on earnings multiple (44.8x) while NRC leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABSI?
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Per ABSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672688), Absci Corporation generated $336.9M in revenue (+7330.3% YoY), -$115.2M in net income, and -$94.0M in free cash flow against $216.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.45 (-2.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (17)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$13 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE ABSI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABSI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABSI SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (39% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$9.10-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$9.07+16.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$10.57-8.3% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$9.69-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABSI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABSI currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.60) and Max Pain ($10.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.18.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABSI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABSI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABSI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABSI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +72.42%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $12.10H $12.10L $9.69C $9.69VOL 4.57M
RES: $13.05SUP: $8.43SMA50: $9.60SMA200: $6.58
$13.20$10.49$7.78$5.07$2.36RES $13.05SUP $8.43$9.692026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7330.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABSI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABSI)

Health Care Rank #382 of 1015 ⚔️ OABI vs ABSI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ABSI vs. OABI, NRC, ICLR, CRL)

Industry: Biotechnology: Commercial Physical & Biological Resarch (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Absci Corporation (ABSI) ranks #382 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #264 by equity capitalization ($1.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NRC leads on earnings valuation at 44.8x trailing P/E, while NRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ICLR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ABSI at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABSI ACTIVE
Absci Corporation
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -12.94% $1.91B Benchmark Subject
OABI
OmniAb Inc.
D 44/100 — — -22.6% -0.39% $742.9M /oabi-vs-absi →
NRC
NRC Health
C+ 67/100 44.8x — 21.0% +1.80% $527.1M /nrc-vs-absi →
ICLR
ICON plc
B 72/100 71.9x — 3.1% -2.94% $16.18B /iclr-vs-absi →
CRL
Charles River Laboratories International Inc.
C 64/100 — — 0.4% -5.81% $17.16B /crl-vs-absi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001672688 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Absci Corporation (ABSI) reported GAAP revenue of $336.9M (+7330.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.5M , and +5791.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$115.2M, operating cash flow of -$92.9M, and free cash flow of -$94.0M (-29.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABSI closed FY2025 with $216.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $336.9M -$115.2M -$92.9M -$94.0M $216.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.5M -$103.1M -$72.4M -$72.8M $213.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.7M -$110.6M -$64.6M -$64.6M — —

3. ABSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Absci Corporation (NASDAQ: ABSI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.69 (-12.94% 1D, market cap $1.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ABSI ranks #382 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABSI compare to OABI and NRC in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Commercial Physical & Biological Resarch), ABSI carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OABI (OmniAb Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.6%, cap $742.9M) and NRC (NRC Health) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 44.8x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $527.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NRC leads on earnings multiple (44.8x) while NRC leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABSI?

Per ABSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672688), Absci Corporation generated $336.9M in revenue (+7330.3% YoY), -$115.2M in net income, and -$94.0M in free cash flow against $216.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABSI last traded at $9.69 (-12.94% on volume of 3,813,257 shares), positioning the stock +0.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.60) and +47.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.58). Across its 52-week range of $2.24 to $12.55, ABSI sits at the 72.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.48 to $10.90).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ABSI — Absci Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Absci Corporation (ABSI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.69 (-12.94% 1D, market capitalization $1.91B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -4.53%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Absci Corporation (ABSI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Absci Corporation (ABSI) reported $336.9M in annual revenue (up from $4.5M in FY2024, +7330.3% YoY) and -$115.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.7M revenue, -$110.6M net income) through FY2025, ABSI scaled operating cash flow to -$92.9M and free cash flow to -$94.0M, backed by $216.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -4.53% and institutional whale pillar of 17/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.24 – $12.55 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector and industry classification are given in the profile only.

  • Key Question #1: Can ABSI sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Commercial Physical & Biological Resarch peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $336.9M and free cash flow of -$94.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABSI's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ABSI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Absci Corporation (ABSI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABSI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABSI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.69?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABSI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ABSI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.14 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (17 / 20 whale 13F pillar) is the rating's strongest signal.

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (17 / 20 whale 13F pillar) is the rating's strongest signal.. When you look under the hood at ABSI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 6/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (17/20) has been quietly accumulating below $12.55. My 12M target is $14.14.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.13 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.24 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $11.13

Negative ROIC of -35% and revenue falling to $0.0M in FY 2025 leave the business without cash-generating support.

Careful chasing ABSI at $11.13. Negative ROIC of -35% and revenue falling to $0.0M in FY 2025 leave the business without cash-generating support.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $9.24 on multiple compression.

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