Why AAMI Stock slipped -1.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$87.52 -1.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.11

Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.16B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AAMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Acadian Asset Management Inc. (NYSE: AAMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $87.52 (-1.57% 1D, market cap $3.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AAMI ranks #642 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AAMI compare to HTGC and FSK in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), AAMI carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 40.3%. By comparison, HTGC (Hercules Capital Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $3.14B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAMI?
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Per AAMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001748824), Acadian Asset Management Inc. generated $563.7M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), $80.0M in net income, and -$27.8M in free cash flow against $677.0M in total assets and $266.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.11 (-0.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$103 Bull$84 Base$66 Bear
📬 FREE AAMI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AAMI SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$91.10+4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$95.11-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$91.27-4.1% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$87.52-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AAMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AAMI currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.44) and Max Pain ($91.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $103.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AAMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AAMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AAMI Stock slipped -1.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) slipped -1.57% to $87.52, trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($41.47 – $98.52). Stretched risk/reward at 41x P/E (40% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($41.47 – $98.52) with RSI-14 at 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.5% around $87.52 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AAMI Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AAMI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AAMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AAMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $91.32H $91.32L $87.52C $87.52VOL 625.4K
RES: $96.03SUP: $86.43SMA50: $92.44SMA200: $74.36
$101.9$87.87$73.84$59.80$45.76RES $96.03SUP $86.43$87.522026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAMI)

Financials Rank #642 of 1096 ⚔️ HTGC vs AAMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AAMI vs. HTGC, FSK, NAN, APAM)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) ranks #642 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #352 by equity capitalization ($3.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTGC leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while APAM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 71.9% ROIC and — gross margin. APAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AAMI at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AAMI ACTIVE
Acadian Asset Management Inc.
D 50/100 40.5x — 40.3% -1.57% $3.16B Benchmark Subject
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc.
D- 42/100 9.3x — 15.3% -0.36% $3.14B /htgc-vs-aami →
FSK
FS KKR Capital Corp.
D 51/100 — — 0.2% +3.72% $3.05B /fsk-vs-aami →
NAN
Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund
D 45/100 — — — +0.30% $3.03B /nan-vs-aami →
APAM
Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A)
C- 59/100 10.2x — 71.9% +5.06% $2.97B /apam-vs-aami →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001748824

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) reported GAAP revenue of $563.7M (+11.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $505.6M , and +32.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $80.0M, operating cash flow of -$2.4M, and free cash flow of -$27.8M (-184.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AAMI closed FY2025 with $677.0M in total assets against $266.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $563.7M $80.0M -$2.4M -$27.8M $677.0M $266.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $505.6M $85.0M $55.8M $33.0M $703.2M $277.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $426.6M $65.8M $68.3M $49.1M $1.78B $417.1M

3. AAMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AAMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Acadian Asset Management Inc. (NYSE: AAMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $87.52 (-1.57% 1D, market cap $3.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AAMI ranks #642 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AAMI compare to HTGC and FSK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), AAMI carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 40.3%. By comparison, HTGC (Hercules Capital Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $3.14B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAMI?

Per AAMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001748824), Acadian Asset Management Inc. generated $563.7M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), $80.0M in net income, and -$27.8M in free cash flow against $677.0M in total assets and $266.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AAMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AAMI last traded at $87.52 (-1.57% on volume of 580,540 shares), positioning the stock -5.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.44) and +17.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.36). Across its 52-week range of $41.47 to $98.52, AAMI sits at the 80.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($81.83 to $93.21).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AAMI — Acadian Asset Management Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:52Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AAMI scores 52 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. ROIC is 40.3% while the FCF yield is -0.86%. The gap between a high return on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield is the central tension: reported profitability is not converting into positive free cash flow at the current valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data supplies only the pillar score and label; the underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the sources.
  • Insider Conviction: 8 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, and it is among the weaker pillars.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. beta is 1.08 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity, indicating roughly market-level sensitivity to broad moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These are moderate readings rather than distress signals or strength.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the implication is that the rating is driven more by weak cash conversion and insider/macro pillars than by balance-sheet stress. Valuation is demanding on the reported multiples (P/E TTM 40.5, EV/EBITDA 22.2), so an upside case depends on cash generation catching up to earnings. This is an analytical read of the source data, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Investment Managers industry. The company reported revenue of $563.7M for FY 2025. Specific product lines, client base, and fee structure are —

Revenue grew from $426.6M (FY 2023) to $563.7M (FY 2025), while net income moved from $65.8M to $85.0M and back to $80.0M in FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin is 23.4% and net margin is 14.2%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt declined from $417.1M to $266.9M over the period, and FCF turned negative in FY 2025 at -$27.8M after positive readings in prior years. Debt/Equity is 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: ROIC of 40.3% and revenue growth from $426.6M to $563.7M show strong underlying profitability and scale. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 40.3%, FCF yield -0.86%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $41.47 – $98.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative FCF yield of -0.86% and FY 2025 FCF of -$27.8M indicate reported earnings are not converting to cash at a 40.5 P/E. Investors must weigh 40.5x trailing P/E and 22.2x EV/EBITDA against 23.4% operating margins and a 1.08 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the Financials/Investment Managers classification, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are —

  • Key Question #1: What are the reported EPS and cash balance figures, which are listed as N/A in the financial periods?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the swing from positive FCF in FY 2023–2024 to -$27.8M in FY 2025 despite growing revenue?
  • Key Question #3: What is the basis for the $88.00 price target and what is the analyst consensus rating?

AAMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AAMI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AAMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $87.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AAMI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AAMI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $106.70 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 40.3% and revenue growth from $426.6M to $563.7M show strong underlying profitability and scale.

Long AAMI at $88.92 targeting $106.70. ROIC of 40.3% and revenue growth from $426.6M to $563.7M show strong underlying profitability and scale.. Institutional whale score is 11/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $41.47 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AAMI's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $72.03 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $88.92

Negative FCF yield of -0.86% and FY 2025 FCF of -$27.8M indicate reported earnings are not converting to cash at a 40.5 P/E.

I respect the product at Acadian Asset Management Inc., but the stock at $88.92 is a different story. Negative FCF yield of -0.86% and FY 2025 FCF of -$27.8M indicate reported earnings are not converting to cash at a 40.5 P/E.. FCF yield is -0.86% and RQD sits at 50/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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