Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$167.40 +0.96% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $167.37

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $21.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $167.40 (+0.96% 1D, market cap $21.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLI ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XLI compare to JEPQ and XLY in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Industrials & Aerospace), XLI carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, JEPQ (JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.00B) and XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $22.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLI leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XLI?
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For Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Industrials & Aerospace basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $167.37 (-0.02%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Fund (7)Whales (14)Struct (15)Macro (4)Flow (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$198 Bull$162 Base$126 Bear
📬 FREE XLI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XLI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XLI SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (29% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.9) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$168.67-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$166.80+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$167.92-0.3% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$167.40-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XLI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XLI currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Diversified GICS Industrials & Aerospace basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XLI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XLI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure
N/A (ETF)Fund Structure
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure
N/A (ETF)Fund Structure
52-WEEK LASER RANGE49% OF RANGE
L: $147$167.40H: $188
1. Basket Liquidity & Structure● WEAK
ETF / Index composite efficiency

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for corporate GAAP gross margins; reflects underlying basket liquidity and structure.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Institutional Basket Flow● NEUTRAL
13F & index options positioning

Tracks institutional 13F ETF basket allocations and index options positioning (corporate CEO Form 4 rules N/A for fund structure).

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
Macro regime & rate sensitivity

Evaluates index basket sensitivity to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield shifts (corporate 10-K Altman-Z / Piotroski checks N/A for ETF structure).

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on XLI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
Index Basket & Yield Model
BEARISH (35)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (single-company ROIC and GAAP gross margin do not apply to index funds).

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
Fund Structure & Liquidity Guard
BULLISH (75)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (corporate Altman-Z and Piotroski 9-point checks do not apply to ETFs).

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like XLI
  • ✓Diversified GICS Industrials & Aerospace basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.
  • ✓Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand.
  • ✓Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.
  • !Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.
  • !Broad market drawdowns affect index vehicles in lockstep with constituent weights.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XLI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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XLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.09%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $165.8H $167.4L $165.8C $167.4VOL 10.75M
RES: $199.0SUP: $159.1SMA50: $170.2SMA200: $173.3
$190.2$181.9$173.6$165.3$157.0RES $199.0SUP $159.1$167.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XLI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XLI)

ETF / Index Rank #27 of 40 ⚔️ JEPQ vs XLI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (XLI vs. JEPQ, XLY, XLC, XLU)

Industry: GICS Industrials & Aerospace (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #21 by equity capitalization ($21.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XLI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XLI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XLU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with XLI at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XLI ACTIVE
Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund
D 51/100 — — — +0.96% $21.00B Benchmark Subject
JEPQ
JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF
D 46/100 — — — -1.15% $21.00B /jepq-vs-xli →
XLY
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
D+ 56/100 — — — +0.75% $22.00B /xly-vs-xli →
XLC
Communication Services Select Sector SPDR
D- 37/100 — — — -1.91% $20.00B /xlc-vs-xli →
XLU
Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund
D+ 58/100 — — — +1.51% $19.00B /xlu-vs-xli →

2. XLI ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates XLI on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $167.40, XLI trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $170.20 and 200-day SMA of $173.31 on daily liquidity of 10,749,536 shares.

50D SMA Level
$170.20
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$173.31
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
49.0%
$147.14 – $188.19
RSI-14 Momentum
45.9
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
10,749,536
AUM Cap $21.00B

3. XLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $167.40 (+0.96% 1D, market cap $21.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLI ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XLI compare to JEPQ and XLY in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Industrials & Aerospace), XLI carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, JEPQ (JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.00B) and XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $22.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLI leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XLI?

For Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Industrials & Aerospace basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XLI last traded at $167.40 (+0.96% on volume of 10,749,536 shares), positioning the stock -1.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($170.20) and -3.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($173.31). Across its 52-week range of $147.14 to $188.19, XLI sits at the 49.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.0% ($162.38 to $172.42).

XLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell XLI stock right now?

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. ETF / Index Composite (GICS Industrials & Aerospace) tracking macro liquidity and institutional flow.

What is XLI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

XLI's 12-month base price target is $162.13 (range $126.46 to $197.6), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XLI — Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:31Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XLI scores 51 out of 100, a letter grade of D, under the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning (ETF Composite Methodology)." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 7 of 20, reflecting ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 14 of 20, covering institutional accumulation and options positioning. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 11 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 4 of 20, with beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity as the stated basis. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 15 of 20, reflecting Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash-generation and macro-fit measures, both of which are reported as zero or near-zero in the source data. The stronger forensic balance-sheet score suggests the balance-sheet profile is comparatively sound, but the rating methodology weights cash generation and macro fit heavily enough that the composite lands in the sell band. Upside drivers in the data are limited to the institutional-flow and balance-sheet pillars. The valuation tradeoff cannot be fully assessed because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. This brief is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Business

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) is an exchange-traded fund listed on NYSE, classified in the ETF / Index sector and the GICS Industrials & Aerospace industry. Per the profile, it is described as a liquid institutional exchange-traded fund tracking GICS Industrials & Aerospace with approximately $21.0B in assets under management. Because XLI is a fund rather than an operating company, the source data does not describe products sold or customers served. Revenue model and operating structure are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are tagged to XLI. Three carry a YELLOW light tagged MARKET WIRE, covering a TradingView report on the fund's listing, a Moomoo report titled "US Midterm Elections: Three Scenarios, Different Sector Opportunities.", and a 24/7 Wall St. report titled "Caterpillar's Earnings Plunge Hits These 3 Popular ETFs Hardest". A Benzinga item tagged YELLOW under MARKET WIRE reports on sector performance with defensives leading. One Benzinga item tagged RED under RISK WATCH reports sector declines with energy leading. One Benzinga item tagged GREEN under CATALYST reports growth leading sectors as defensives trail.

The mixed light signals (three YELLOW market-wire items, one RED risk-watch, one GREEN catalyst) indicate no single directional read from the news wire. The Caterpillar headline ties the fund to earnings weakness at a single large holding, which is the most specific negative catalyst in the feed. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector ripple visible in the inputs is the news-wire reference to Caterpillar earnings affecting ETFs that hold it, which implies exposure of XLI to industrial-equipment earnings, though the holdings list is not provided in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the top holdings and sector weightings within XLI, and how much of the Caterpillar exposure does the fund carry?
  • What are the trailing and forward earnings and valuation multiples for the fund's underlying constituents, given that P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable?
  • Which specific 13F institutional and Form 4 insider flows drove the Whale and Insider pillar scores?
  • How do the Macro Regime Fit pillar's sector-sensitivity inputs translate into the 4 of 20 score, and what macro variables are measured?
  • What is the fund's expense ratio and tracking performance versus its benchmark, neither of which appears in the source data?

XLI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XLI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XLI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $167.40?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XLI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XLI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $180.79 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XLI (D • RQD 51/100) a Buy at $167.40?

Welcome to the XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning (ETF Composite Methodology)) in GICS Industrials & Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $133.92 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $167.40

Pump the brakes on XLI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XLI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $205.90 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $167.40

XLI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XLI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in GICS Industrials & Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $167.40 (52-wk range $147.14 - $188.19), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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