Should I buy, hold, or sell SMHI stock right now?

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SMHI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SMHI's 12-month base price target is $8.95 (range $6.98 to $10.56), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SMHI

GASS (60) DSX (52) IMPP (61) SHIP (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.37 -4.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $267.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SMHI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $9.37 (-4.97% 1D, market cap $267.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SMHI ranks #598 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMHI compare to GASS and DSX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SMHI carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, GASS (StealthGas Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $307.2M) and DSX (Diana Shipping inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $311.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMPP leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while GASS leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMHI?

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Per SMHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001690334), SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. generated $38.4M in revenue (+31.5% YoY), -$27.8M in net income, and -$85.2M in free cash flow against $660.6M in total assets and $304.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27 (-1.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMHI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMHI SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 85% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$8.67-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.51+3.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$8.84+6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$9.37-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SMHI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SMHI currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.02) and Max Pain ($9.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.56.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMHI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMHI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

68.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE85% OF RANGE

L: $6$9.37H: $10

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SMHI

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (25)

2.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SMHI

✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMHI)

✓Walkthrough of SMHI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SMHI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.94%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-11-03O $9.83H $9.86L $9.37C $9.37VOL 189.2K

RES: $10.00SUP: $8.03SMA50: $9.02SMA200: $8.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMHI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMHI Butterfly Map → + Track SMHI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMHI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMHI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMHI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMHI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #598 of 1009 ⚔️ GASS vs SMHI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SMHI vs. GASS, DSX, IMPP, SHIP)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) ranks #598 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #656 by equity capitalization ($267.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMPP leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while GASS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. IMPP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with SMHI at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMHI ACTIVE SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	2.2%	-4.97%	$267.7M	Benchmark Subject
GASS StealthGas Inc.	C-	60/100	5.1x	—	7.4%	-3.99%	$307.2M	/gass-vs-smhi →
DSX Diana Shipping inc.	D+	52/100	17.7x	—	3.6%	-3.20%	$311.0M	/dsx-vs-smhi →
IMPP Imperial Petroleum Inc.	C-	61/100	4.6x	—	6.0%	-8.25%	$230.1M	/impp-vs-smhi →
SHIP Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.	D+	56/100	16.4x	—	7.3%	-7.54%	$344.7M	/ship-vs-smhi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001690334 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) reported GAAP revenue of $38.4M (+31.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $29.2M , and -61.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$27.8M, operating cash flow of -$36.4M, and free cash flow of -$85.2M (-385.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMHI closed FY2025 with $660.6M in total assets against $304.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$38.4M	-$27.8M	-$36.4M	-$85.2M	$660.6M	$304.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$29.2M	-$78.1M	-$10.3M	-$17.6M	$727.1M	$317.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$99.5M	-$9.3M	$8.9M	$8.9M	—	—

3. SMHI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SMHI compare to GASS and DSX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMHI?

Where is SMHI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMHI last traded at $9.37 (-4.97% on volume of 156,097 shares), positioning the stock +3.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.02) and +16.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.02). Across its 52-week range of $5.75 to $10.00, SMHI sits at the 85.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($8.48 to $10.26).

Direct Sub-Reports: SMHI RQD Cockpit SMHI 12M Forecast SMHI Earnings & Move SMHI Dividends & DRIP SMHI Insiders & 13F SMHI Whale Options SMHI Profit Sankey SMHI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SMHI — SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.37 (-4.97% 1D, market capitalization $267.7M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.15x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) reported $38.4M in annual revenue (up from $29.2M in FY2024, +31.5% YoY) and -$27.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($99.5M revenue, -$9.3M net income) through FY2025, SMHI scaled operating cash flow to -$36.4M and free cash flow to -$85.2M, backed by $660.6M in total assets against $304.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.75 – $10.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 9.1x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck mappings for SMHI.

Key Question #1: Can SMHI sustain or expand its — operating margin and 2.2% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $38.4M and free cash flow of -$85.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $304.6M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is SMHI's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SMHI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SMHI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

Seacor Marine (SMHI) Reports Q3 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Yahoo Finance UK report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

Seacor Marine(SMHI) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Seacor Marine: Best Quarter In Recent Years Increases Odds Of A Strategic Transaction - Buy (NYSE:SMHI)

Seeking Alpha report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

SEACOR Marine (NYSE:SMHI) Stock Price Up 5.4% - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 1d ago

A $9 million profit gave way to a $9.5 million loss at SEACOR Marine

Stock Titan report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Seacor Marine: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

Yahoo Finance report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 1d ago

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc (NYSE: SMHI) Share Price, SMHI Stock News, SMHI Share Price & Updates

kalkine.ca report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago

SEACOR Marine (NYSE:SMHI) Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By $0.25 EPS

MarketBeat report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMHI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMHI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.72 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale/13F flow scores 15 of 20 and a 10.08% price move coincides with reports of a strategic transaction becoming more li

The street is overcomplicating SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI). Institutional whale/13F flow scores 15 of 20 and a 10.08% price move coincides with reports of a strategic transaction becoming more likely.. With an RQD score of 48/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $10.65.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SMHI's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.09 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $9.86

A 0% FCF yield, 2.2% ROIC, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$85.2M leave the cash engine scored at only 5 of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SMHI above $9.86. A 0% FCF yield, 2.2% ROIC, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$85.2M leave the cash engine scored at only 5 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $10.00.