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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RSKD
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Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.48 -1.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.45

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RSKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (NYSE: RSKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $8.48 (-1.05% 1D, market cap $1.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSKD ranks #467 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RSKD compare to AHG and QNST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RSKD carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.7%, and ROIC of -20.3%. By comparison, AHG (Akso Health Group ADS) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.08B) and QNST (QuinStreet Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.6%, cap $995.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSKD?
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Per RSKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851112), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) generated $344.6M in revenue (+5.2% YoY), -$27.6M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $410.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.45 (-0.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 9.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$10 Bull$8 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE RSKD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RSKD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RSKD SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.12 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$8.46+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$8.77+2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$8.98-5.6% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$8.48-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RSKD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RSKD currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.53) and Max Pain ($8.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RSKD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RSKD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
6.12>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE86% OF RANGE
L: $4$8.48H: $9
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on RSKD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-20.3% ROIC with 51.7% gross margin and 2.71% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 6.12 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RSKD
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RSKD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RSKD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RSKD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +75.21%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $8.99H $8.99L $8.48C $8.48VOL 1.95M
RES: $9.51SUP: $5.76SMA50: $7.53SMA200: $5.44
$9.57$8.15$6.72$5.29$3.87RES $9.51SUP $5.76$8.482026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RSKD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RSKD Butterfly Map → + Track RSKD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RSKD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RSKD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RSKD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RSKD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #467 of 1009 ⚔️ AHG vs RSKD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RSKD vs. AHG, QNST, NUTX, LQDT)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) ranks #467 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #491 by equity capitalization ($1.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NUTX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with RSKD at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RSKD ACTIVE
Riskified Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 54/100 — 51.7% -20.3% -1.05% $1.17B Benchmark Subject
AHG
Akso Health Group ADS
E 32/100 — -0.1% — +4.17% $1.08B /ahg-vs-rskd →
QNST
QuinStreet Inc.
B- 70/100 — 10.1% 2.6% +0.92% $995.7M /qnst-vs-rskd →
NUTX
Nutex Health Inc.
A- 84/100 20.3x 50.8% 85.0% -7.27% $1.37B /nutx-vs-rskd →
LQDT
Liquidity Services Inc.
B 73/100 50.5x 43.8% 12.9% +0.05% $1.40B /lqdt-vs-rskd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001851112 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) reported GAAP revenue of $344.6M (+5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.5M , and +15.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$27.6M, operating cash flow of $33.9M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (-15.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RSKD closed FY2025 with $410.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $344.6M -$27.6M $33.9M $33.1M $410.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $327.5M -$34.9M $39.7M $39.1M $495.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $297.6M -$59.0M $7.3M $7.3M — —

3. RSKD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RSKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (NYSE: RSKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $8.48 (-1.05% 1D, market cap $1.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSKD ranks #467 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RSKD compare to AHG and QNST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RSKD carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.7%, and ROIC of -20.3%. By comparison, AHG (Akso Health Group ADS) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.08B) and QNST (QuinStreet Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.6%, cap $995.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSKD?

Per RSKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851112), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) generated $344.6M in revenue (+5.2% YoY), -$27.6M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $410.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RSKD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RSKD last traded at $8.48 (-1.05% on volume of 1,104,563 shares), positioning the stock +12.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.53) and +55.88% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.44). Across its 52-week range of $3.70 to $9.23, RSKD sits at the 86.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($7.54 to $9.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: RSKD RQD Cockpit RSKD 12M Forecast RSKD Earnings & Move RSKD Dividends & DRIP RSKD Insiders & 13F RSKD Whale Options RSKD Profit Sankey RSKD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RSKD — Riskified Ltd. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $8.48 (-1.05% 1D, market capitalization $1.17B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -20.3%, gross margin of 51.7%, operating margin of -9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.71%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.12, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and Business Services industry..2B. FY 2025 revenue was $344.6M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) reported $344.6M in annual revenue (up from $327.5M in FY2024, +5.2% YoY) and -$27.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($297.6M revenue, -$59.0M net income) through FY2025, RSKD scaled operating cash flow to $33.9M and free cash flow to $33.1M, backed by $410.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 2.71% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.70 – $9.23 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -9.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded. Sector context is limited to Consumer Discretionary and Business Services.

  • Key Question #1: Can RSKD sustain or expand its -9.9% operating margin and -20.3% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $344.6M and free cash flow of $33.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RSKD's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RSKD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RSKD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RSKD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.48?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RSKD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RSKD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.46 (+22.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Whale 13F Flow scores 16 / 20, the strongest pillar, alongside a Forensic Balance Sheet score of 13 / 20 backed by an Altman Z of 6.12.

Picked up a starter position in RSKD in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $8.57. Whale 13F Flow scores 16 / 20, the strongest pillar, alongside a Forensic Balance Sheet score of 13 / 20 backed by an Altman Z of 6.12.. Trading inside a $3.70–$9.23 52-week range with 2.71% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Business Services multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.57 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.77 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $8.57

ROIC of -20.3% and a Fundamental Cash Engine score of 9 / 20 show capital not yet generating returns despite revenue growth to $344.6M.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on RSKD: ROIC of -20.3% and a Fundamental Cash Engine score of 9 / 20 show capital not yet generating returns despite revenue growth to $344.6M.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Business Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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