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GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.92 -1.03% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.91

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $57.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (NYSE: PEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.92 (-1.03% 1D, market cap $57.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PEW ranks #930 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PEW compare to NAAS and WSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), PEW carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NAAS (NaaS Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $57.7M) and WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $56.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEW?
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Per PEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002051380), GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. generated $96.4M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $131.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.91 (-0.38%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (4)SEC (7)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.6% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE PEW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PEW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PEW SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 11.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.01 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
18
Grade E$1.84+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$1.96+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$2.01-4.5% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.92-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PEW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PEW currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.09) and Max Pain ($2.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.81.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PEW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PEW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.01>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE
L: $2$1.92H: $5
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on PEW

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with 11.7% gross margin and -15.14% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 3.01 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PEW
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PEW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PEW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PEW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.99H $1.99L $1.92C $1.92VOL 130.8K
RES: $2.10SUP: $1.59SMA50: $2.09SMA200: $2.61
$4.28$3.61$2.93$2.26$1.58RES $2.10SUP $1.59$1.922026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PEW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PEW Butterfly Map → + Track PEW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PEW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PEW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PEW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PEW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #930 of 1009 ⚔️ NAAS vs PEW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PEW vs. NAAS, WSHP, BARK, SPWH)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) ranks #930 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #796 by equity capitalization ($57.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PEW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SPWH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.8% ROIC and 30.9% gross margin. NAAS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with PEW at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PEW ACTIVE
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
E 26/100 — 11.7% -35.0% -1.03% $57.3M Benchmark Subject
NAAS
NaaS Technology Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +3.83% $57.7M /naas-vs-pew →
WSHP
WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -0.85% $56.7M /wshp-vs-pew →
BARK
BARK Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 — 61.3% -35.0% +3.63% $72.3M /bark-vs-pew →
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc.
D- 39/100 — 30.9% -12.8% +2.83% $41.5M /spwh-vs-pew →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002051380 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) reported GAAP revenue of $96.4M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $93.1M , and +691.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.5M, operating cash flow of -$417.0K, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (-605.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PEW closed FY2025 with $131.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.01, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $96.4M -$2.5M -$417.0K -$8.9M $131.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $93.1M $4.5M $1.8M $1.8M $13.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.2M $4.5M $4.8M $4.8M — —

3. PEW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (NYSE: PEW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.92 (-1.03% 1D, market cap $57.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PEW ranks #930 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PEW compare to NAAS and WSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), PEW carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NAAS (NaaS Technology Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $57.7M) and WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $56.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEW?

Per PEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002051380), GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. generated $96.4M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), -$2.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $131.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PEW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PEW last traded at $1.92 (-1.03% on volume of 110,533 shares), positioning the stock -8.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.09) and -26.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.61). Across its 52-week range of $1.79 to $4.58, PEW sits at the 4.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($1.71 to $2.13).

Direct Sub-Reports: PEW RQD Cockpit PEW 12M Forecast PEW Earnings & Move PEW Dividends & DRIP PEW Insiders & 13F PEW Whale Options PEW Profit Sankey PEW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PEW — GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.92 (-1.03% 1D, market capitalization $57.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 11.7%, operating margin of -4.5%, and free cash flow yield of -15.14%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.01, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry. The profile describes it as operating in that industry with a market capitalization of $0.1B. Per the recent news wire, the company has pursued acquisitions (Camfour, Inc. For $34 million) and a logistics platform expansion (PEW Logistics adding Sarsilmaz).

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) reported $96.4M in annual revenue (up from $93.1M in FY2024, +3.6% YoY) and -$2.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.2M revenue, $4.5M net income) through FY2025, PEW scaled operating cash flow to -$417.0K and free cash flow to -$8.9M, backed by $131.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -15.14% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.79 – $4.58 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. The logistics expansion and the Sarsilmaz addition are noted in the news feed, but their supply-chain implications are not quantified in the sources. A prospective investor should watch whether the acquisitions and logistics expansion translate into revenue and cash generation, since the FY 2025 free-cash-flow figure is negative.

  • Key Question #1: Can PEW sustain or expand its -4.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Other Specialty Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $96.4M and free cash flow of -$8.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PEW's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PEW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PEW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PEW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PEW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PEW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.54 (+30.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash reported at $110.4M in FY 2025 and an Altman Z of 3.01 give the balance sheet a cushion that the RQD rating scores above the opera

Don't sleep on PEW's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Cash reported at $110.4M in FY 2025 and an Altman Z of 3.01 give the balance sheet a cushion that the RQD rating scores above the operating pillars.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (26/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PEW's 7/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.51 (-22.2%)
Spot @ $1.94

FY 2025 operating income of -$4.4M, free cash flow of -$8.9M, and ROIC of -35% show the business consuming cash after profitable prior

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PEW: FY 2025 operating income of -$4.4M, free cash flow of -$8.9M, and ROIC of -35% show the business consuming cash after profitable prior years.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Other Specialty Stores triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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