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Stock Ratings / Technology / OSPN
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OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$25.66 +27.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.98

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (73.8% gross margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $946.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OSPN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OSPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $25.66 (+27.35% 1D, market cap $946.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, OSPN ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSPN compare to CLVT and SHAZ in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), OSPN carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 73.8%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, CLVT (Clarivate Plc) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $1.06B) and SHAZ (SharonAI Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.2%, cap $812.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSPN leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while OSPN leads on capital efficiency (19.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSPN?
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Per OSPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001044777), OneSpan Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $72.9M in net income, and $50.5M in free cash flow against $397.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.98 (+5.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 20.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (18)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$33 Bull$28 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE OSPN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSPN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OSPN SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.9) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$18.20+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$18.25+11.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$20.36+26% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$25.66+7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSPN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, OSPN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 71.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.10) or 200D SMA ($14.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.74) toward Bear Floor ($21.04).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSPN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OSPN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
66.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.47>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE90% OF RANGE
L: $10$25.66H: $27
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (73.8% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: ARQD 35 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on OSPN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

19.0% ROIC with 73.8% gross margin and 6.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 5.47 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (80)

35/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OSPN
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OSPN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OSPN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +115.09%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $20.15H $25.66L $20.15C $25.66VOL 3.76M
RES: $27.67SUP: $17.95SMA50: $18.10SMA200: $14.16
$28.61$23.81$19.02$14.23$9.43RES $27.67SUP $17.95$25.662026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSPN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OSPN Butterfly Map → + Track OSPN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSPN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSPN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSPN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSPN)

Technology Rank #36 of 715 ⚔️ CLVT vs OSPN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OSPN vs. CLVT, SHAZ, PSQL, PAYS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) ranks #36 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #354 by equity capitalization ($946.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OSPN leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while OSPN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.0% ROIC and 73.8% gross margin. OSPN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OSPN ACTIVE
OneSpan Inc.
B+ 76/100 10.2x 73.8% 19.0% +27.35% $946.7M Benchmark Subject
CLVT
Clarivate Plc
E 28/100 — 66.0% 1.3% -4.07% $1.06B /clvt-vs-ospn →
SHAZ
SharonAI Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 20/100 — 6.4% -23.2% -13.34% $812.0M /shaz-vs-ospn →
PSQL
Pasqal Holding SA Ordinary Share
D 46/100 — — — -0.19% $1.11B /psql-vs-ospn →
PAYS
Paysign Inc.
C+ 68/100 107.2x 59.4% 10.6% -2.86% $786.5M /pays-vs-ospn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001044777 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $243.2M , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.9M, operating cash flow of $59.5M, and free cash flow of $50.5M (+8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSPN closed FY2025 with $397.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $243.2M $72.9M $59.5M $50.5M $397.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $243.2M $57.1M $55.7M $46.4M $338.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $235.1M -$29.8M -$10.7M -$10.7M — —

3. OSPN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $25.66 (+27.35% 1D, market cap $946.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, OSPN ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSPN compare to CLVT and SHAZ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), OSPN carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 73.8%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, CLVT (Clarivate Plc) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $1.06B) and SHAZ (SharonAI Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.2%, cap $812.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSPN leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while OSPN leads on capital efficiency (19.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSPN?

Per OSPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001044777), OneSpan Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $72.9M in net income, and $50.5M in free cash flow against $397.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSPN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSPN last traded at $25.66 (+27.35% on volume of 3,760,750 shares), positioning the stock +41.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.10) and +81.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.16). Across its 52-week range of $10.07 to $27.45, OSPN sits at the 89.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($22.53 to $28.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: OSPN RQD Cockpit OSPN 12M Forecast OSPN Earnings & Move OSPN Dividends & DRIP OSPN Insiders & 13F OSPN Whale Options OSPN Profit Sankey OSPN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OSPN — OneSpan Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 76/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $25.66 (+27.35% 1D, market capitalization $946.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.0%, gross margin of 73.8%, operating margin of 19.9%, and free cash flow yield of 6.80%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.47, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under EDP Services. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 73.8%, an operating margin of 19.9%, and a net margin of 30%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) reported $243.2M in annual revenue (up from $243.2M in FY2024, +0.0% YoY) and $72.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($235.1M revenue, -$29.8M net income) through FY2025, OSPN scaled operating cash flow to $59.5M and free cash flow to $50.5M, backed by $397.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 76/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.07 – $27.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 10.2x trailing P/E and 12.0x EV/EBITDA against 19.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals are recorded, so no supply-chain dependency can be assessed from the source data. Sector context is limited to the Technology / EDP Services classification. The source data contains no sector correlation figures. Watch items for an investor are therefore constrained to the company's own figures: the decline in cash from $83.2M to $70.5M and the flat revenue line.

  • Key Question #1: Can OSPN sustain or expand its 19.9% operating margin and 19.0% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $243.2M and free cash flow of $50.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OSPN's 9.5x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OSPN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OSPN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OSPN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.66?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OSPN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OSPN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.82 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (17/20) and a 6.8% FCF yield at a 9.5 forward P/E offer a cash-backed, low-multiple profile.

Here is why I am bullish on OSPN here at $25.66: Insider conviction (17/20) and a 6.8% FCF yield at a 9.5 forward P/E offer a cash-backed, low-multiple profile.. Compare OSPN's 19.9% operating margin and 19.0% ROIC against the rest of EDP Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $24.38 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OSPN's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.81 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $25.66

Revenue was flat at $243.2M across two years and cash fell from $83.2M to $70.5M while the stock already sits near the top of its $10.0

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short OSPN above $25.66. Revenue was flat at $243.2M across two years and cash fell from $83.2M to $70.5M while the stock already sits near the top of its $10.07 - $27.45 52-week range.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (6.8%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $27.45.

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