Should I buy, hold, or sell OLED stock right now?

Universal Display Corporation (OLED) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 76.3% gross margin (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 16x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is OLED's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OLED's 12-month base price target is $85.43 (range $66.64 to $157.54), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / OLED

VSH (40) MRCY (56) PLXS (54) BHE (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Universal Display Corporation (OLED) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$83.92 -1.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.59

Universal Display Corporation (OLED) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.78B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OLED Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OLED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Universal Display Corporation (NASDAQ: OLED) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $83.92 (-1.15% 1D, market cap $3.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, OLED ranks #183 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OLED compare to VSH and MRCY in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), OLED carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of 76.3%, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, VSH (Vishay Intertechnology Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.10B) and MRCY (Mercury Systems Inc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $4.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLED leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MRCY leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLED?

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Per OLED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001005284), Universal Display Corporation generated $650.6M in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $242.0M in net income, and $154.4M in free cash flow against $1.96B in total assets and $91.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.58 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 23.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OLED)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OLED SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 13.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$74.95+11.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$83.85+7.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$90.41-7.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$83.92+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OLED Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, OLED faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 73.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.62) or 200D SMA ($91.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($85.43) toward Bear Floor ($66.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OLED• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OLED Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

5330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

13.44>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE17% OF RANGE

L: $71$83.92H: $150

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (76.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OLED

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

11.5% ROIC with 76.3% gross margin and 4.04% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 13.44 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (57)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OLED

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OLED Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OLED // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.09%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $84.90H $84.90L $83.92C $83.92VOL 901.7K

RES: $95.85SUP: $69.11SMA50: $80.62SMA200: $91.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OLED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OLED Butterfly Map → + Track OLED →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLED today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OLED today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLED)

Technology Rank #183 of 715 ⚔️ VSH vs OLED Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OLED vs. VSH, MRCY, PLXS, BHE)

Industry: Electrical Products (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universal Display Corporation (OLED) ranks #183 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #229 by equity capitalization ($3.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLED leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while MRCY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. OLED currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OLED ACTIVE Universal Display Corporation	C	62/100	15.8x	76.3%	11.5%	-1.15%	$3.78B	Benchmark Subject
VSH Vishay Intertechnology Inc.	D-	40/100	—	19.4%	1.8%	-9.14%	$4.10B	/vsh-vs-oled →
MRCY Mercury Systems Inc	D+	56/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-5.21%	$4.72B	/mrcy-vs-oled →
PLXS Plexus Corp.	D+	54/100	33.3x	10.1%	8.2%	-3.86%	$5.54B	/plxs-vs-oled →
BHE Benchmark Electronics Inc.	D	47/100	104.1x	9.8%	7.7%	-5.46%	$2.45B	/bhe-vs-oled →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001005284 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Universal Display Corporation (OLED) reported GAAP revenue of $650.6M (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $647.7M , and +12.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $242.0M, operating cash flow of $210.8M, and free cash flow of $154.4M (-26.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLED closed FY2025 with $1.96B in total assets against $91.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.44, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$650.6M	$242.0M	$210.8M	$154.4M	$1.96B	$91.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$647.7M	$222.0M	$253.7M	$211.1M	$1.83B	$97.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$576.4M	$203.0M	$154.8M	$128.8M	$2.10B	$492.0M

3. OLED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OLED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OLED compare to VSH and MRCY in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLED?

Where is OLED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OLED last traded at $83.92 (-1.15% on volume of 901,678 shares), positioning the stock +4.09% above its 50-day simple moving average ($80.62) and -8.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($91.45). Across its 52-week range of $70.77 to $150.04, OLED sits at the 16.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($75.53 to $92.31).

Direct Sub-Reports: OLED RQD Cockpit OLED 12M Forecast OLED Earnings & Move OLED Dividends & DRIP OLED Insiders & 13F OLED Whale Options OLED Profit Sankey OLED News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OLED — Universal Display Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Universal Display Corporation (OLED) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $83.92 (-1.15% 1D, market capitalization $3.78B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.5%, gross margin of 76.3%, operating margin of 38.2%, and free cash flow yield of 4.04%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.36x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 13.44, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Universal Display Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and Electrical Products industry. — for detailed product lines, customer base, or revenue mix. The source data reports gross margin of 76.3%, operating margin of 38.2%, and net margin of 37.2%, which describe its economics but not its specific offerings or go-to-market approach.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Universal Display Corporation (OLED) reported $650.6M in annual revenue (up from $647.7M in FY2024, +0.5% YoY) and $242.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($576.4M revenue, $203.0M net income) through FY2025, OLED scaled operating cash flow to $210.8M and free cash flow to $154.4M, backed by $1.96B in total assets against $91.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 62/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $70.77 – $150.04 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 15.8x trailing P/E and 12.7x EV/EBITDA against 38.2% operating margins and a 1.36x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks: — An investor should note that the only sector information available is the Technology / Electrical Products classification.

Key Question #1: Can OLED sustain or expand its 38.2% operating margin and 11.5% ROIC against Electrical Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $650.6M and free cash flow of $154.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $91.2M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is OLED's 14.7x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.36x)?

OLED Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Universal Display Corporation (OLED) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OLED Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why Universal Display (OLED) Shares Are Trading Lower Today

Yahoo Finance report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

Universal Display Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $112.71, Implies 25% Upside

TradingView report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Universal Display: The Sell-Off Has Not Made It Cheap - Sell (NASDAQ:OLED)

Seeking Alpha report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Cantech Letter • 1d ago

Is Universal Display Corporation undervalued?

Cantech Letter report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Universal Display stock hits 52-week low at 73.14 USD

Investing.com report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Universal Display Shares Fall Nearly 3% After Citi Downgrade and Price Target Cut

Yahoo Finance report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Earnings Flash (OLED) Universal Display Corporation Reports Q3 Revenue $160.4M, vs. FactSet Est of $162.7M

www.marketscreener.com report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 1d ago

Universal Display Corporation Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Business Wire report covering Universal Display Corporation (OLED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OLED Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OLED 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $102.38 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 13.44, Debt/Equity 0.05) and a 12-month price target raised to $112.71 implying 25% upside supp

Picked up a starter position in OLED in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $83.92. Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 13.44, Debt/Equity 0.05) and a 12-month price target raised to $112.71 implying 25% upside support a recovery case from a depressed price.. Trading inside a $70.77–$147.69 52-week range with 4.04% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Electrical Products multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 62/100 quality, though with 1.36 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $83.92 and keeping dry powder in case we test $78.05.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.30 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $83.92

A Citi downgrade with a price target cut, a 52-week low, and a beta of 1.36 point to continued pressure and high sensitivity to market

Fading this rally in OLED at $83.92. A Citi downgrade with a price target cut, a 52-week low, and a beta of 1.36 point to continued pressure and high sensitivity to market downturns.. With a beta of 1.36 and the stock sitting at $83.92 (52-wk range $70.77–$147.69), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.