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Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$29.11 +3.96% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.26

Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.06B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Marcus & Millichap Inc. (NYSE: MMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $29.11 (+3.96% 1D, market cap $1.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MMI ranks #823 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MMI compare to FOR and SKYH in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), MMI carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.8%. By comparison, FOR (Forestar Group Inc) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 7.6x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.22B) and SKYH (Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 43.2x, ROIC -12.9%, cap $807.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOR leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while FOR leads on capital efficiency (9.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MMI?
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Per MMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001578732), Marcus & Millichap Inc. generated $755.2M in revenue (+8.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $58.8M in free cash flow against $827.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.26 (+0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (11)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$35 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE MMI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MMI SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.8% FCF Margin ($58.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$27.72+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$28.03-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$27.50+5.9% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$29.11-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MMI currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.54) and Max Pain ($30.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE51% OF RANGE
L: $24$29.11H: $34
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MMI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-1.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.56% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MMI
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MMI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.01%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $27.92H $29.11L $27.92C $29.11VOL 144.0K
RES: $34.89SUP: $26.43SMA50: $29.54SMA200: $28.75
$34.03$32.04$30.04$28.05$26.05RES $34.89SUP $26.43$29.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MMI)

Financials Rank #823 of 1097 ⚔️ FOR vs MMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MMI vs. FOR, SKYH, IIPR, EFC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) ranks #823 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #536 by equity capitalization ($1.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOR leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while FOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.4% ROIC and — gross margin. IIPR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with MMI at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MMI ACTIVE
Marcus & Millichap Inc.
D 44/100 — — -1.8% +3.96% $1.06B Benchmark Subject
FOR
Forestar Group Inc
E 29/100 7.6x — 9.4% +2.55% $1.22B /for-vs-mmi →
SKYH
Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)
E 33/100 43.2x — -12.9% +2.43% $807.3M /skyh-vs-mmi →
IIPR
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc.
D+ 57/100 12.5x — 5.4% +4.54% $1.43B /iipr-vs-mmi →
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
E 34/100 10.1x — 8.2% +1.14% $1.47B /efc-vs-mmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001578732 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) reported GAAP revenue of $755.2M (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $696.1M , and +16.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $66.7M, and free cash flow of $58.8M (+324.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MMI closed FY2025 with $827.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $755.2M -$1.9M $66.7M $58.8M $827.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $696.1M -$12.4M $21.7M $13.8M $869.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $645.9M -$34.0M -$72.4M -$72.4M — —

3. MMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Marcus & Millichap Inc. (NYSE: MMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $29.11 (+3.96% 1D, market cap $1.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MMI ranks #823 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MMI compare to FOR and SKYH in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), MMI carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.8%. By comparison, FOR (Forestar Group Inc) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 7.6x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.22B) and SKYH (Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 43.2x, ROIC -12.9%, cap $807.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOR leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while FOR leads on capital efficiency (9.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MMI?

Per MMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001578732), Marcus & Millichap Inc. generated $755.2M in revenue (+8.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $58.8M in free cash flow against $827.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MMI last traded at $29.11 (+3.96% on volume of 160,080 shares), positioning the stock -1.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.54) and +1.25% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.75). Across its 52-week range of $24.43 to $33.55, MMI sits at the 51.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($27.71 to $30.51).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MMI — Marcus & Millichap Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $29.11 (+3.96% 1D, market capitalization $1.06B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -1.8%, and free cash flow yield of 5.56%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and Real Estate industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) reported $755.2M in annual revenue (up from $696.1M in FY2024, +8.5% YoY) and -$1.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($645.9M revenue, -$34.0M net income) through FY2025, MMI scaled operating cash flow to $66.7M and free cash flow to $58.8M, backed by $827.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 5.56% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.43 – $33.55 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector-level context is the Financials / Real Estate classification and beta of 1.0. Investors should watch for any future disclosure of supplier, customer, or financing-channel dependencies that could transmit shocks from real-estate transaction volumes into MMI's revenue.

  • Key Question #1: Can MMI sustain or expand its -1.8% operating margin and -1.8% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $755.2M and free cash flow of $58.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MMI's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MMI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.11?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MMI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MMI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $33.88 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Positive FCF yield of 5.56% and FY 2025 free cash flow of $58.8M show cash generation running ahead of reported earnings.

Positive FCF yield of 5.56% and FY 2025 free cash flow of $58.8M show cash generation running ahead of reported earnings.. When you look under the hood at MMI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -1.8% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $33.55. My 12M target is $33.88.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 44/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $28.00 and keeping dry powder in case we test $26.04.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.00 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $28.00

Negative ROIC of -1.8% alongside weak whale and insider flow scores signals limited return on capital and little institutional convicti

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on MMI: Negative ROIC of -1.8% alongside weak whale and insider flow scores signals limited return on capital and little institutional conviction.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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