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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JOUT
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Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$45.67 -1.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $478.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $45.67 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $478.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JOUT compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $356.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?
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Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49 (-0.40%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$56 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE JOUT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JOUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JOUT SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($56.2M FCF) & 35.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.6) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$42.71+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$43.67+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$45.18+1.1% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$45.67-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JOUT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JOUT currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($44.57) and Max Pain ($47.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $56.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JOUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JOUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
56.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.79>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE56% OF RANGE
L: $36$45.67H: $54
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (35.1% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on JOUT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-4.5% ROIC with 35.1% gross margin and 11.60% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 3.79 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like JOUT
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JOUT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of JOUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JOUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.08%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $46.22H $46.22L $45.67C $45.67VOL 24.6K
RES: $46.49SUP: $41.67SMA50: $44.57SMA200: $46.47
$54.63$50.12$45.62$41.12$36.61RES $46.49SUP $41.67$45.672026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JOUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JOUT Butterfly Map → + Track JOUT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JOUT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JOUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JOUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JOUT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #548 of 1009 ⚔️ JAKK vs JOUT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JOUT vs. JAKK, FNKO, BBW, ESCA)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) ranks #548 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #586 by equity capitalization ($478.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. ESCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with JOUT at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JOUT ACTIVE
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — 35.1% -4.5% -1.19% $478.6M Benchmark Subject
JAKK
JAKKS Pacific Inc.
D- 40/100 — 96.0% 5.7% -2.79% $361.6M /jakk-vs-jout →
FNKO
Funko Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — — -10.4% -4.78% $356.7M /fnko-vs-jout →
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.
C+ 68/100 6.5x 55.8% 33.7% +0.47% $340.1M /bbw-vs-jout →
ESCA
Escalade Incorporated
B 74/100 20.2x 26.9% 8.0% -2.18% $271.0M /esca-vs-jout →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0000788329 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported GAAP revenue of $592.4M (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $592.8M , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.3M, operating cash flow of $56.2M, and free cash flow of $56.2M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, JOUT closed FY2025 with $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-03 $592.4M -$34.3M $56.2M $56.2M $600.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $592.8M -$26.5M $41.0M $41.0M $612.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $663.8M $19.5M $41.7M $41.7M — —

3. JOUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $45.67 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $478.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JOUT compare to JAKK and FNKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $356.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?

Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JOUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JOUT last traded at $45.67 (-1.19% on volume of 24,638 shares), positioning the stock +2.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.57) and -1.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.47). Across its 52-week range of $35.65 to $53.54, JOUT sits at the 56.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($43.20 to $48.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: JOUT RQD Cockpit JOUT 12M Forecast JOUT Earnings & Move JOUT Dividends & DRIP JOUT Insiders & 13F JOUT Whale Options JOUT Profit Sankey JOUT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JOUT — Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-10-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $45.67 (-1.19% 1D, market capitalization $478.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.5%, gross margin of 35.1%, operating margin of -2.7%, and free cash flow yield of 11.60%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.79, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) is listed on NASDAQ and operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Recreational Games/Products/Toys industry..5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported $592.4M in annual revenue (up from $592.8M in FY2024, -0.1% YoY) and -$34.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($663.8M revenue, $19.5M net income) through FY2025, JOUT scaled operating cash flow to $56.2M and free cash flow to $56.2M, backed by $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 11.60% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.65 – $53.54 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -2.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Recreational Games/Products/Toys (Consumer Discretionary), JOUT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 35.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can JOUT sustain or expand its -2.7% operating margin and -4.5% ROIC against Recreational Games/Products/Toys peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $592.4M and free cash flow of $56.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JOUT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

JOUT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JOUT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JOUT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JOUT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JOUT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.00 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 11.6% FCF yield and a 3.79 Altman Z-Score point to cash generation and solvency that the negative earnings profile does not fully ref

A 11.6% FCF yield and a 3.79 Altman Z-Score point to cash generation and solvency that the negative earnings profile does not fully reflect.. When you look under the hood at JOUT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 35.1% gross margins and -4.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $53.54. My 12M target is $58.00.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $45.67 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.54 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $45.67

Negative operating margin, -4.5% ROIC, and a 6/20 macro-regime score show the business is not yet earning returns on its capital.

Careful chasing JOUT at $45.67. Negative operating margin, -4.5% ROIC, and a 6/20 macro-regime score show the business is not yet earning returns on its capital.. Gross margin is 35.1%, but operating margin is -2.7%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $36.54 on multiple compression.

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