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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / FRPT
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Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$69.62 +3.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.18

Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (41% profit margin, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FRPT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FRPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Freshpet Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $69.62 (+3.14% 1D, market cap $3.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FRPT ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FRPT compare to MZTI and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), FRPT carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.8x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, MZTI (The Marzetti Company) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.99B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPT?
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Per FRPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001611647), Freshpet Inc. generated $1.10B in revenue (+13.0% YoY), $139.1M in net income, and $160.6M in free cash flow against $1.78B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.18 (+0.81%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 14.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (14)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$90 Bull$74 Base$57 Bear
📬 FREE FRPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FRPT SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 6.9% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$66.16-0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$66.05-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$64.38+8.1% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$69.62+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FRPT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, FRPT faces multiple-compression risk if 22.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($64.88) or 200D SMA ($63.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($73.69) toward Bear Floor ($57.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FRPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
57.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.24>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE59% OF RANGE
L: $46$69.62H: $86
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (41% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on FRPT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

6.4% ROIC with 40.8% gross margin and 5.05% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 4.24 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (72)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FRPT
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FRPT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FRPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.53%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $66.12H $69.62L $66.12C $69.62VOL 1.13M
RES: $68.42SUP: $58.79SMA50: $64.88SMA200: $63.87
$79.28$70.38$61.48$52.59$43.69RES $68.42SUP $58.79$69.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FRPT Butterfly Map → + Track FRPT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRPT)

Consumer Staples Rank #15 of 146 ⚔️ MZTI vs FRPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FRPT vs. MZTI, POST, UTZ, INGR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #48 by equity capitalization ($3.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. FRPT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FRPT ACTIVE
Freshpet Inc.
B- 71/100 22.8x 40.8% 6.4% +3.14% $3.24B Benchmark Subject
MZTI
The Marzetti Company
C 65/100 17.8x 23.9% 20.9% +1.08% $2.99B /mzti-vs-frpt →
POST
Post Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 10.7x 28.7% 5.9% +2.97% $3.66B /post-vs-frpt →
UTZ
Utz Brands Inc (Class A)
D+ 55/100 — 24.9% 1.1% +0.14% $2.05B /utz-vs-frpt →
INGR
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +2.02% $6.12B /ingr-vs-frpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001611647

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.10B (+13.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $975.2M , and +43.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $139.1M, operating cash flow of $160.6M, and free cash flow of $160.6M (+4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FRPT closed FY2025 with $1.78B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.24, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.10B $139.1M $160.6M $160.6M $1.78B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $975.2M $46.9M $154.3M $154.3M $1.57B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $766.9M -$33.6M $75.9M $75.9M — —

3. FRPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Freshpet Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $69.62 (+3.14% 1D, market cap $3.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FRPT ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRPT compare to MZTI and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), FRPT carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.8x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, MZTI (The Marzetti Company) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.99B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPT?

Per FRPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001611647), Freshpet Inc. generated $1.10B in revenue (+13.0% YoY), $139.1M in net income, and $160.6M in free cash flow against $1.78B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRPT last traded at $69.62 (+3.14% on volume of 1,327,373 shares), positioning the stock +7.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($64.88) and +9.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($63.87). Across its 52-week range of $46.45 to $86.00, FRPT sits at the 58.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($64.26 to $74.98).

Direct Sub-Reports: FRPT RQD Cockpit FRPT 12M Forecast FRPT Earnings & Move FRPT Dividends & DRIP FRPT Insiders & 13F FRPT Whale Options FRPT Profit Sankey FRPT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FRPT — Freshpet Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $69.62 (+3.14% 1D, market capitalization $3.24B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4%, gross margin of 40.8%, operating margin of 6.9%, and free cash flow yield of 5.05%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.24, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Packaged Foods industry, . The source data identifies the company as operating in premium fresh pet food demand, as referenced in the news wire headline. — for further business-model specifics.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) reported $1.10B in annual revenue (up from $975.2M in FY2024, +13.0% YoY) and $139.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($766.9M revenue, -$33.6M net income) through FY2025, FRPT scaled operating cash flow to $160.6M and free cash flow to $160.6M, backed by $1.78B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $46.45 – $86.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 22.8x trailing P/E and 38.3x EV/EBITDA against 6.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain value is "NONE" and the butterfly_links array is empty. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector-level context provided is the Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods classification, and no link to specific suppliers, distributors, or peer companies is supplied.

  • Key Question #1: Can FRPT sustain or expand its 6.9% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.10B and free cash flow of $160.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FRPT's 19.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FRPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FRPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FRPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $69.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FRPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FRPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $86.40 (+28.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue rose from $766.9M in FY 2023 to $1.10B in FY 2025 while the balance sheet screens strong with an Altman Z of 4.24 and Piotros

Picked up a starter position in FRPT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $67.50. Revenue rose from $766.9M in FY 2023 to $1.10B in FY 2025 while the balance sheet screens strong with an Altman Z of 4.24 and Piotroski F of 8/9.. Trading inside a $46.45–$86.00 52-week range with 5.05% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Packaged Foods multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FRPT's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $52.65 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $67.50

A 6.4% ROIC and 38.3x EV/EBITDA leave the valuation resting on expected earnings growth that the current 6.9% operating margin does not

Careful chasing FRPT at $67.50. A 6.4% ROIC and 38.3x EV/EBITDA leave the valuation resting on expected earnings growth that the current 6.9% operating margin does not yet demonstrate.. Gross margin is 40.8%, but operating margin is 6.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $52.65 on multiple compression.

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