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Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.37 -4.78% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.30

Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $356.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FNKO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Funko Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FNKO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $6.37 (-4.78% 1D, market cap $356.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FNKO ranks #776 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FNKO compare to JAKK and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), FNKO carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.4%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and BBW (Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $340.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNKO?
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Per FNKO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001704711), Funko Inc. (Class A) generated $908.2M in revenue (-13.5% YoY), -$67.4M in net income, and -$38.1M in free cash flow against $685.2M in total assets and $202.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.30 (-1.05%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (13)SEC (7)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$8 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE FNKO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNKO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FNKO SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$6.52+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$6.87-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$6.52-2.3% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$6.37-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FNKO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FNKO currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.10) and Max Pain ($6.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNKO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FNKO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
49.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE79% OF RANGE
L: $3$6.37H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FNKO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-10.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -10.17% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FNKO
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNKO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FNKO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FNKO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +48.83%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $6.69H $6.69L $6.37C $6.37VOL 2.32M
RES: $6.97SUP: $5.32SMA50: $6.10SMA200: $5.15
$7.61$6.52$5.43$4.34$3.25RES $6.97SUP $5.32$6.372026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNKO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNKO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNKO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNKO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNKO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #776 of 1009 ⚔️ JAKK vs FNKO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FNKO vs. JAKK, BBW, ESCA, JOUT)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) ranks #776 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #627 by equity capitalization ($356.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. ESCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with FNKO at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FNKO ACTIVE
Funko Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — — -10.4% -4.78% $356.7M Benchmark Subject
JAKK
JAKKS Pacific Inc.
D- 40/100 — 96.0% 5.7% -2.79% $361.6M /jakk-vs-fnko →
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.
C+ 68/100 6.5x 55.8% 33.7% +0.47% $340.1M /bbw-vs-fnko →
ESCA
Escalade Incorporated
B 74/100 20.2x 26.9% 8.0% -2.18% $271.0M /esca-vs-fnko →
JOUT
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — 35.1% -4.5% -1.19% $478.6M /jout-vs-fnko →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001704711 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) reported GAAP revenue of $908.2M (-13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.05B , and -17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$67.4M, operating cash flow of -$5.1M, and free cash flow of -$38.1M (-142.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNKO closed FY2025 with $685.2M in total assets against $202.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $908.2M -$67.4M -$5.1M -$38.1M $685.2M $202.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.05B -$14.7M $123.5M $90.7M $707.3M $100.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.10B -$154.1M $30.9M $30.9M — —

3. FNKO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNKO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Funko Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FNKO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $6.37 (-4.78% 1D, market cap $356.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FNKO ranks #776 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FNKO compare to JAKK and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), FNKO carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.4%. By comparison, JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $361.6M) and BBW (Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $340.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNKO?

Per FNKO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001704711), Funko Inc. (Class A) generated $908.2M in revenue (-13.5% YoY), -$67.4M in net income, and -$38.1M in free cash flow against $685.2M in total assets and $202.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FNKO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNKO last traded at $6.37 (-4.78% on volume of 2,321,074 shares), positioning the stock +4.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.10) and +23.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.15). Across its 52-week range of $2.72 to $7.35, FNKO sits at the 78.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($5.78 to $6.96).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FNKO — Funko Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.37 (-4.78% 1D, market capitalization $356.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -5.0%, and free cash flow yield of -10.17%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.09x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Recreational Games/Products/Toys industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $356.7M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of -5%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.4% (free cash flow yield of -10.17%). Within the Recreational Games/Products/Toys peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) reported $908.2M in annual revenue (up from $1.05B in FY2024, -13.5% YoY) and -$67.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.10B revenue, -$154.1M net income) through FY2025, FNKO scaled operating cash flow to -$5.1M and free cash flow to -$38.1M, backed by $685.2M in total assets against $202.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -10.17% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.72 – $7.35 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -5.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

The sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Recreational Games/Products/Toys) is the only sector context provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can FNKO sustain or expand its -5.0% operating margin and -10.4% ROIC against Recreational Games/Products/Toys peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $908.2M and free cash flow of -$38.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $202.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FNKO's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FNKO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Funko Inc. (Class A) (FNKO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FNKO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FNKO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FNKO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FNKO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.34 (+30.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale flow scores 15/20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, indicating sophisticated accumulation despite weak funda

Don't sleep on FNKO's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Institutional whale flow scores 15/20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, indicating sophisticated accumulation despite weak fundamentals.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (36/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Recreational Games/Products/Toys. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.16 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $6.37

FCF yield of -10.17% and ROIC of -10.4% show the business is not generating cash, while debt rose to $202.2M against $42.1M of cash.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on FNKO: FCF yield of -10.17% and ROIC of -10.4% show the business is not generating cash, while debt rose to $202.2M against $42.1M of cash.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Recreational Games/Products/Toys triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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