Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (DRMA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.78 -7.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.77

Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (DRMA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DRMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: DRMA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.78 (-7.86% 1D, market cap $3.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DRMA ranks #659 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DRMA compare to NRSN and XTLB in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), DRMA carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NRSN (NeuroSense Therapeutics Ltd.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M) and XTLB (XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRMA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DRMA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRMA?
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Per DRMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853816), Dermata Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$7.6M in net income, and -$7.8M in free cash flow against $7.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.77 (-1.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE DRMA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRMA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DRMA SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$0.86+1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$0.87-13.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$0.75+4% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$0.78-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DRMA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DRMA currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.07) and Max Pain ($0.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRMA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DRMA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
41.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE
L: $1$0.78H: $5
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on DRMA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (30)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DRMA
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRMA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DRMA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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DRMA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $0.85H $0.85L $0.78C $0.78VOL 62.2K
RES: $1.98SUP: $0.51SMA50: $1.07SMA200: $1.30
$3.42$2.66$1.89$1.13$0.36RES $1.98SUP $0.51$0.782026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRMA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRMA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRMA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRMA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRMA)

Health Care Rank #659 of 1016 ⚔️ NRSN vs DRMA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (DRMA vs. NRSN, XTLB, MDCX, CVKD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (DRMA) ranks #659 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #958 by equity capitalization ($3.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DRMA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DRMA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. XTLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with DRMA at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DRMA ACTIVE
Dermata Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -7.86% $3.8M Benchmark Subject
NRSN
NeuroSense Therapeutics Ltd.
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -6.57% $3.8M /nrsn-vs-drma →
XTLB
XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -8.52% $4.0M /xtlb-vs-drma →
MDCX
Medicus Pharma Ltd.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -12.56% $3.6M /mdcx-vs-drma →
CVKD
Cadrenal Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% +4.41% $3.5M /cvkd-vs-drma →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853816

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (DRMA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$7.6M, operating cash flow of -$7.8M, and free cash flow of -$7.8M (+30.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DRMA closed FY2025 with $7.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$7.6M -$7.8M -$7.8M $7.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$12.3M -$11.2M -$11.2M $3.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$7.8M -$6.4M -$6.4M — —

3. DRMA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: DRMA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.78 (-7.86% 1D, market cap $3.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DRMA ranks #659 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRMA compare to NRSN and XTLB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), DRMA carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NRSN (NeuroSense Therapeutics Ltd.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M) and XTLB (XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRMA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DRMA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRMA?

Per DRMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853816), Dermata Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$7.6M in net income, and -$7.8M in free cash flow against $7.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRMA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRMA last traded at $0.78 (-7.86% on volume of 62,203 shares), positioning the stock -27.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.07) and -40.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.30). Across its 52-week range of $0.60 to $4.66, DRMA sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.88).

DRMA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DRMA stock right now?

Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (DRMA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 34/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DRMA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DRMA's 12-month base price target is $0.7 (range $0.55 to $4.89), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DRMA — Dermata Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:53:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DRMA scores 33 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are whale flow and insider conviction, while the cash engine is also scored low because the reported return on invested capital is negative and free cash flow yield is zero. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a business that is not currently generating cash returns on its capital, with limited institutional and insider signal support. The balance sheet pillar is comparatively the least weak, but a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates weak fundamental health signals overall. The rating's implication is that upside would depend on a change in these signals rather than on any current strength shown in the data.

Business

Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (DRMA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations, per the company profile. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each of the three listed fiscal years, so the source data does not show a revenue-generating operation. Not available in source data for detailed product or customer descriptions.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-7.8M$-7.6MN/A$-7.8M$7.5MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-12.5M$-12.3MN/A$-11.2M$3.2MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-8.0M$-7.8MN/A$-6.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each listed year, with FY 2024 the largest at $-12.5M and FY 2025 at $-7.8M. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash rose from $3.2M in FY 2024 to $7.5M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, while debt is listed as N/A for all periods. Not available in source data for further detail on balance sheet posture beyond these figures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the headlines reference a Tome cosmetic study with reported positive results, a clinical trial launch for a once-weekly product, and several SEC filing and market-coverage items dated within the prior 15 hours of the data timestamp. One headline describes a stock gain on a Thursday, and another describes "big gains" tied to positive topline results from a cosmetic study. The feed also includes a seasonal returns chart and an SEC filing dated Oct 21, 2026. Risk watch items include the single-source nature of the coverage, which consists of aggregated headlines whose underlying article bodies are not provided. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked "NONE" with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What products or development candidates does the company have, and what is their clinical or commercial stage?
  • How many months of operating cash runway does the reported FY 2025 cash balance of $7.5M represent at the reported FY 2025 free cash outflow of $-7.8M?
  • What is the basis for the reported Debt as N/A, and what liabilities exist on the balance sheet?
  • What were the details and outcomes of the reported Tome cosmetic study results, and do the source data contain the underlying filings?
  • What is the share count and dilution history, given the market cap of $4.2M at a price of 0.84?

DRMA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dermata Therapeutics Inc. (DRMA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DRMA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DRMA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.78?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DRMA 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DRMA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.74 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DRMA (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $0.84?

Welcome to the DRMA (Dermata Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.64 (-23.8%)
Spot @ $0.84

Pump the brakes on DRMA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DRMA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Dermata Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.07 (+27.4%)
Spot @ $0.84

DRMA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DRMA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.84 (52-wk range $0.60 - $4.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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