SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$517.13 -0.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $515.80

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $38.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE: DIA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $517.13 (-0.37% 1D, market cap $38.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, DIA ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DIA compare to JEPI and XLV in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index), DIA carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, JEPI (JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $37.00B) and XLV (Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $40.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DIA leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIA?
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For SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $515.79 (-0.26%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Fund (17)Whales (13)Struct (17)Macro (8)Flow (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$632 Bull$536 Base$418 Bear
📬 FREE DIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DIA SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($38.00B AUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+17/20 pts (26% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.3) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$516.21+1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$524.36-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$523.28-1.2% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$517.13+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, DIA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($521.05) or 200D SMA ($506.18) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($535.75) toward Bear Floor ($417.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure
N/A (ETF)Fund Structure
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure
N/A (ETF)Fund Structure
52-WEEK LASER RANGE69% OF RANGE
L: $450$517.13H: $547
1. Basket Liquidity & Structure● HEALTHY
ETF / Index composite efficiency

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for corporate GAAP gross margins; reflects underlying basket liquidity and structure.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Institutional Basket Flow● NEUTRAL
13F & index options positioning

Tracks institutional 13F ETF basket allocations and index options positioning (corporate CEO Form 4 rules N/A for fund structure).

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
Macro regime & rate sensitivity

Evaluates index basket sensitivity to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield shifts (corporate 10-K Altman-Z / Piotroski checks N/A for ETF structure).

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on DIA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
Index Basket & Yield Model
BULLISH (85)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (single-company ROIC and GAAP gross margin do not apply to index funds).

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
Fund Structure & Liquidity Guard
BULLISH (85)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (corporate Altman-Z and Piotroski 9-point checks do not apply to ETFs).

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DIA
  • ✓Diversified Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.
  • ✓Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.
  • !Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.
  • !Broad market drawdowns affect index vehicles in lockstep with constituent weights.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DIA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.63%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $519.1H $519.1L $517.1C $517.1VOL 4.49M
RES: $525.8SUP: $500.0SMA50: $521.1SMA200: $506.2
$551.9$530.4$508.9$487.3$465.8RES $525.8SUP $500.0$517.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIA)

ETF / Index Rank #13 of 40 ⚔️ JEPI vs DIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (DIA vs. JEPI, XLV, XLE, XLF)

Industry: Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) ranks #13 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #14 by equity capitalization ($38.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DIA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DIA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XLE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with DIA at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DIA ACTIVE
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
C+ 66/100 — — — -0.37% $38.00B Benchmark Subject
JEPI
JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
C 63/100 — — — +0.83% $37.00B /jepi-vs-dia →
XLV
Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund
B+ 79/100 — — — +2.35% $40.00B /xlv-vs-dia →
XLE
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
A- 84/100 — — — +0.38% $36.00B /xle-vs-dia →
XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund
B 74/100 — — — +1.42% $48.00B /xlf-vs-dia →

2. DIA ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates DIA on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $517.13, DIA trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $521.05 and 200-day SMA of $506.18 on daily liquidity of 4,492,474 shares.

50D SMA Level
$521.05
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$506.18
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
69.0%
$450.44 – $546.75
RSI-14 Momentum
45.3
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
4,492,474
AUM Cap $38.00B

3. DIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE: DIA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $517.13 (-0.37% 1D, market cap $38.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, DIA ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DIA compare to JEPI and XLV in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index), DIA carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, JEPI (JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $37.00B) and XLV (Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $40.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DIA leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIA?

For SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIA last traded at $517.13 (-0.37% on volume of 4,492,474 shares), positioning the stock -0.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($521.05) and +2.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($506.18). Across its 52-week range of $450.44 to $546.75, DIA sits at the 69.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($507.82 to $526.44).

DIA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DIA stock right now?

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. ETF / Index Composite (Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index) tracking macro liquidity and institutional flow.

What is DIA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DIA's 12-month base price target is $535.75 (range $417.88 to $632.18), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DIA — SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:00Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DIA scores 66 / C+ (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout, ETF Composite Methodology). Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 17 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow scores 13 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction scores 11 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit scores 8 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 17 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the composite reads as a neutral holding rather than a strong signal in either direction. The strongest component is the forensic balance-sheet pillar, while macro regime fit is the weakest, consistent with a beta of 1.0 that mirrors broad market movement. The fundamental pillar's 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield reflect the source's treatment of an ETF whose cash-engine metrics do not apply in the same way as an operating company, so this pillar should be interpreted with that limitation in mind. The upside case rests on the whale-flow and breakout-watch framing; the downside case rests on limited insider conviction and a macro score that offers little offset to market-wide drawdowns.

Business

Per the profile, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) is a liquid institutional exchange-traded fund tracking the Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index, listed on the NYSE. Its sector is classified as ETF / Index and its industry as Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index. The profile reports approximately $38.0B in assets under management. The source does not describe a distinct operating business, customer base, or revenue model beyond the fund's index-tracking structure.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines reference DIA, each tagged with a YELLOW signal and MARKET WIRE impact label. They include a Yahoo! Finance Canada market report, a Yahoo Finance item on Goldman Sachs positioning on Tuesday, a 24/7 Wall St. market-open report, a TradingView item on Dow 30 performers, a Yahoo Finance item reporting a $31.3 Million sale of Goldman Sachs on Oct. 14, and a TradingView Nasdaq 100 item on an AI rout cooling. The catalyst items relate to market action and institutional positioning generally. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain relationships and no proprietary signals, so no graph-based catalyst is available.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Because DIA is an index-tracking vehicle, its exposure to constituent companies is indirect and runs through the index composition rather than through a supply-chain graph. A prospective investor should therefore watch the constituent-level news flow referenced in the headlines, particularly the Goldman Sachs positioning items, as a potential second-order influence on fund-level sentiment. The source does not map upstream or downstream dependencies among the 30 constituents.

Open Questions

  • What constituent-level holdings and weights make up the Dow 30 basket within DIA, and how concentrated is it?
  • What is the fund's expense ratio and tracking error relative to the Dow 30 index?
  • What specific 13F, Form 4, and Congressional PTR transactions underlie the 13 / 20 whale-flow and 11 / 20 insider-conviction pillar scores?
  • What is the source of the 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and how should those fund-level metrics be interpreted?
  • What analyst consensus or price-target data exists for the fund's constituent companies or the fund itself?

DIA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DIA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DIA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $517.13?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DIA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DIA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $558.50 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DIA (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $517.13?

Welcome to the DIA (SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout (ETF Composite Methodology)) in Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $413.70 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $517.13

Pump the brakes on DIA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DIA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $636.07 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $517.13

DIA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DIA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Dow 30 Blue-Chip Index and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $517.13 (52-wk range $450.44 - $546.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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