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Diageo plc (DEO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$93.44 +2.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $93.65

Diageo plc (DEO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $50.84B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DEO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Diageo plc (NYSE: DEO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $93.44 (+2.31% 1D, market cap $50.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, DEO ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DEO compare to CCEP and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), DEO carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $50.36B) and KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $48.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDP leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while DEO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEO?

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For Diageo plc (DEO), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #19 in Consumer Staples, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $93.65 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DEO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DEO SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 69% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$90.43+3.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$93.41-0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$93.07+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$93.44+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DEO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, DEO faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($89.49) or 200D SMA ($85.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($96.80) toward Bear Floor ($75.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DEO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DEO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

50.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.74>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE69% OF RANGE

L: $72$93.44H: $103

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on DEO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.74 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (63)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DEO

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DEO Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DEO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.02%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-11-02O $91.96H $93.44L $91.33C $93.44VOL 776.8K

RES: $96.97SUP: $84.92SMA50: $89.49SMA200: $85.80

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DEO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DEO Butterfly Map → + Track DEO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DEO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DEO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DEO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DEO)

Consumer Staples Rank #19 of 146 ⚔️ CCEP vs DEO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (DEO vs. CCEP, KDP, FMX, ABEV)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diageo plc (DEO) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #11 by equity capitalization ($50.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDP leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while DEO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CCEP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with DEO at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DEO ACTIVE Diageo plc	C+	66/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.31%	$50.84B	Benchmark Subject
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc	C+	69/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.06%	$50.36B	/ccep-vs-deo →
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.	C	64/100	23.1x	54.2%	7.5%	+1.53%	$48.04B	/kdp-vs-deo →
FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.	C	64/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.46%	$42.34B	/fmx-vs-deo →
ABEV Ambev S.A. American	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.37%	$42.08B	/abev-vs-deo →

2. DEO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Diageo plc (DEO) operates in Beverages (Production/Distribution) (Consumer Staples) with an equity capitalization of $50.84B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. DEO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DEO compare to CCEP and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEO?

Where is DEO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEO last traded at $93.44 (+2.31% on volume of 928,400 shares), positioning the stock +4.41% above its 50-day simple moving average ($89.49) and +8.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($85.80). Across its 52-week range of $72.45 to $102.74, DEO sits at the 69.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($90.45 to $96.43).

DEO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DEO stock right now?

Diageo plc (DEO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is DEO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DEO's 12-month base price target is $96.8 (range $75.5 to $114.22), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: DEO RQD Cockpit DEO 12M Forecast DEO Earnings & Move DEO Dividends & DRIP DEO Insiders & 13F DEO Whale Options DEO Profit Sankey DEO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DEO — Diageo plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DEO scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 12 of 20, supported by ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%; this indicates modest capital efficiency and a thin free-cash return relative to the share price. Whale 13F Flow scores 12 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that is neither a strong tailwind nor a clear headwind. Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 14 of 20, with beta of 0.98 pointing to market-like sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet is the strongest pillar at 16 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 3.74, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39.

For a prospective investor, the rating describes a stock with a sound balance sheet and market-like volatility, but with valuation and cash-return metrics that do not yet reward buyers today. The upside case rests on the balance sheet durability and a potential breakout, which the verdict label flags as a watch item rather than a confirmed signal. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the multiples: a trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 against an FCF yield of 2.21% means investors are paying a premium for future earnings growth that the source data does not quantify. This is an educational reading of the scores, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

Metric	Value
Price	91.33
Market Cap	$50.84B
P/E (TTM)	32.8
Forward P/E	30.5
EV/EBITDA	21
EPS (TTM)	2.78
Dividend Yield	0%
Beta	0.98
52-Wk Range	$72.45 - $102.74
ROIC %	9.9%

Business

Sector: Consumer Staples. Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution). Exchange: NYSE. Per the profile section, Diageo plc (DEO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in beverage production and distribution with a market capitalization of $50.8B. Not available in source data: product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix. The source data does not describe how the company makes money beyond the sector and industry classification.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the wire contains six items, all tied to DEO:

A Yahoo Finance UK piece questioning whether the stock is stalled near £16 (YELLOW, market wire, 1h ago).
A Seeking Alpha piece on CEO Dave Lewis pulling cost out while revenue remains problematic (YELLOW, 3h ago).
A GuruFocus piece citing a stock move of 4.1% and a GF Score of 73/100 (YELLOW, 6h ago).
A MarketBeat piece citing an average analyst price target of $105.33 (YELLOW, 9h ago).
A Stock Titan piece on a whiskey-and-hot-honey pairing heading to 22 events in 15 cities (YELLOW, 12h ago).
A Yahoo Finance piece citing a possible 39% discount to fair value amid an India import probe (RED, RISK WATCH, 15h ago).

The single RISK WATCH item is the India import probe referenced in the last item. Per the Butterfly supply-chain graph, there are no supply-chain links or proprietary signals in the source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector context is limited to Consumer Staples and Beverages (Production/Distribution). Investors should watch whether the India import probe referenced in the news wire develops into a broader trade or distribution issue, but the source data does not establish that linkage.

Open Questions

What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash-flow figures for recent periods? The financials section is empty.
What is the analyst consensus rating and the underlying distribution of price targets behind the $105.33 headline figure?
Which specific insider, 13F institutional, and Congressional transactions make up the cluster flow scored in the RQD pillars?
What is the scope and status of the India import probe, and does it affect revenue or distribution?
Why is gross margin reported as 0% while operating and net margins are positive, and what is the correct gross margin figure?

DEO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Diageo plc (DEO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DEO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 7h ago

Stuck near £16, are my Diageo shares dead money?

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 10h ago

Diageo: CEO Dave Lewis Pulls Cost Out But Revenue Remains Problematic (NYSE:DEO)

Seeking Alpha report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 13h ago

Diageo PLC (DEO) Stock Up 4.1% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 73/100

GuruFocus report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 16h ago

Diageo plc (NYSE:DEO) Stock Has Average Price Target of $105.33 According to Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 19h ago

A whiskey-and-hot-honey pairing is heading to 22 events in 15 cities

Stock Titan report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Diageo (LSE:DGE) Stock May Be 39% Below Fair Value As India Import Probe Continues

Yahoo Finance report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

Seeking Alpha report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Diageo plc $DEO Stock Sold by Burkett Asset Management Ltd

MarketBeat report covering Diageo plc (DEO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DEO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $93.44?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DEO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $98.64 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DEO (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $91.33?

Welcome to the DEO (Diageo plc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Beverages (Production/Distribution). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $73.98 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $91.33

Pump the brakes on DEO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DEO, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Diageo plc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $115.99 (+27.0%)

Spot @ $91.33

DEO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DEO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Beverages (Production/Distribution) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $91.33 (52-wk range $72.45 - $102.74), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.