Should I buy, hold, or sell AOSL stock right now?

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 29/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AOSL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AOSL's 12-month base price target is $18.48 (range $14.41 to $57.06), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / AOSL

KOPN (28) DQ (25) CSIQ (22) TE (35) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.25 -7.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.92

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $696.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AOSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (NASDAQ: AOSL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $21.25 (-7.53% 1D, market cap $696.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AOSL ranks #601 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AOSL compare to KOPN and DQ in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AOSL carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, KOPN (Kopin Corporation) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.8%, cap $704.5M) and DQ (DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $728.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOSL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOSL?

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Per AOSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001387467), Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited generated $696.2M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), -$97.0M in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $2.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.92 (-1.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AOSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AOSL SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.18 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 23.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$25.86-10.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$23.03+6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$24.50-13.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$21.25-9.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AOSL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AOSL currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.54) and Max Pain ($22.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $57.06.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AOSL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AOSL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.18>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE

L: $17$21.25H: $54

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AOSL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (45)

-3.6% ROIC with 23.1% gross margin and -1.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.18 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AOSL

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AOSL)

✓Walkthrough of AOSL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AOSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.62%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $24.71H $24.71L $21.25C $21.25VOL 581.6K

RES: $27.16SUP: $16.69SMA50: $25.54SMA200: $30.50

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AOSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AOSL Butterfly Map → + Track AOSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AOSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AOSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AOSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AOSL)

Technology Rank #601 of 715 ⚔️ KOPN vs AOSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AOSL vs. KOPN, DQ, CSIQ, TE)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) ranks #601 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #392 by equity capitalization ($696.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOSL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. TE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 35/100 (D-) compared with AOSL at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AOSL ACTIVE Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited	E	29/100	—	23.1%	-3.6%	-7.53%	$696.4M	Benchmark Subject
KOPN Kopin Corporation	E	28/100	—	—	-20.8%	-9.23%	$704.5M	/kopn-vs-aosl →
DQ DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five	E	25/100	—	-20.7%	-6.0%	-3.25%	$728.8M	/dq-vs-aosl →
CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)	E	22/100	—	18.3%	2.4%	+1.62%	$628.0M	/csiq-vs-aosl →
TE T1 Energy Inc.	D-	35/100	—	7.4%	-35.0%	-5.18%	$808.6M	/te-vs-aosl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001387467 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) reported GAAP revenue of $696.2M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $657.3M , and +0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$97.0M, operating cash flow of $29.7M, and free cash flow of -$7.5M (+34.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AOSL closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $2.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.18, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$696.2M	-$97.0M	$29.7M	-$7.5M	$1.00B	$2.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$657.3M	-$11.1M	$25.7M	-$11.4M	$1.13B	$20.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$691.3M	$12.4M	$20.5M	$20.5M	—	—

3. AOSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AOSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AOSL compare to KOPN and DQ in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOSL?

Where is AOSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AOSL last traded at $21.25 (-7.53% on volume of 781,520 shares), positioning the stock -16.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.54) and -30.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.50). Across its 52-week range of $17.01 to $54.34, AOSL sits at the 11.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($18.83 to $23.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: AOSL RQD Cockpit AOSL 12M Forecast AOSL Earnings & Move AOSL Dividends & DRIP AOSL Insiders & 13F AOSL Whale Options AOSL Profit Sankey AOSL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AOSL — Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $21.25 (-7.53% 1D, market capitalization $696.4M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -3.6%, gross margin of 23.1%, operating margin of -4.1%, and free cash flow yield of -1.00%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.18, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. Its market capitalization is $0.7B. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.1%, operating margin is -4.1%, and net margin is -13.9%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) reported $696.2M in annual revenue (up from $657.3M in FY2024, +5.9% YoY) and -$97.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($691.3M revenue, $12.4M net income) through FY2025, AOSL scaled operating cash flow to $29.7M and free cash flow to -$7.5M, backed by $1.00B in total assets against $2.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.00% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.01 – $54.34 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck links. Investors seeking second-order effects will need to research supplier and customer relationships outside this dataset.

Key Question #1: Can AOSL sustain or expand its -4.1% operating margin and -3.6% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $696.2M and free cash flow of -$7.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.1M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is AOSL's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AOSL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AOSL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Alpha And Omega Semiconductor (AOSL) Stock Fair Value Falls After Mixed Analyst Revisions

Yahoo Finance report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

AOSL Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:AOSL

TradingView report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor to Announce Fiscal First Quarter Financial Results on November 5, 2026

Yahoo Finance report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Alpha And Omega Semiconductor Limited Showcases Breakthrough Power Solutions For AI Core Power, AI Data Center And Industrial Designs At Electronica 2026

www.marketscreener.com report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited Estimates – NASDAQ:AOSL

TradingView report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Trading the Move, Not the Narrative: (AOSL) Edition

Stock Traders Daily report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor (AOSL) Rises 3.24% to $29.94, Testing the Upper Edge of Its Recent Range - Cumulative Volume

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

CEVA, Inc. (CEVA) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AOSL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AOSL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.50 (+24.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Low reported debt ($2.1M) against $196.3M in cash and a 4.18 Altman Z-Score point to a balance sheet that is not under near-term financ

Here is why I am bullish on AOSL here at $22.98: Low reported debt ($2.1M) against $196.3M in cash and a 4.18 Altman Z-Score point to a balance sheet that is not under near-term financing strain.. Compare AOSL's -4.1% operating margin and -3.6% ROIC against the rest of Semiconductors. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $21.83 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $22.98 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.38 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $22.98

Operating income fell from $22.5M in FY 2023 to -$28.4M in FY 2025 while FCF stayed negative, and the RQD rating is a 31 with a Strong

Operating income fell from $22.5M in FY 2023 to -$28.4M in FY 2025 while FCF stayed negative, and the RQD rating is a 31 with a Strong Sell verdict.. Look at the math on AOSL: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -3.6% ROIC and -4.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Semiconductors demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $20.22 before getting long.