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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AIIO
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Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.61 -11.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.60

Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $143.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (NASDAQ: AIIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $0.61 (-11.24% 1D, market cap $143.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIIO ranks #953 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIIO compare to NIU and LOT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AIIO carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NIU (Niu Technologies) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $141.2M) and LOT (Lotus Technology Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $252.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AIIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIIO?
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Per AIIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001932737), Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) generated $950.0K in revenue (-92.1% YoY), -$167.3M in net income, and -$5.1M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.60 (-2.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target
$22 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE AIIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIIO SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 59.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$1.15-35.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$0.74-16.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$0.62-1.6% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$0.61-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIIO currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.33) and Max Pain ($0.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.63.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
32.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$0.61H: $21
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AIIO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-35.0% ROIC with 62.5% gross margin and -3.14% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AIIO
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AIIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.69H $0.69L $0.61C $0.61VOL 448.9K
SUP: $0.40SMA50: $1.33SMA200: $2.40
$15.16$11.19$7.23$3.27$-0.69SUP $0.40$0.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AIIO Butterfly Map → + Track AIIO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -92.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIIO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #953 of 1009 ⚔️ NIU vs AIIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AIIO vs. NIU, LOT, EMPD, SEV)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) ranks #953 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #722 by equity capitalization ($143.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AIIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 62.5% gross margin. NIU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 36/100 (D-) compared with AIIO at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIIO ACTIVE
Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)
E 24/100 — 62.5% -35.0% -11.24% $143.1M Benchmark Subject
NIU
Niu Technologies
D- 36/100 — 19.6% -35.0% -4.25% $141.2M /niu-vs-aiio →
LOT
Lotus Technology Inc.
E 22/100 — 8.7% -35.0% -8.18% $252.3M /lot-vs-aiio →
EMPD
Empery Digital Inc.
E 19/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -6.27% $79.9M /empd-vs-aiio →
SEV
Aptera Motors Corp. (Class B)
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -1.20% $67.5M /sev-vs-aiio →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001932737 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) reported GAAP revenue of $950.0K (-92.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.0M , and -97.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$167.3M, operating cash flow of -$5.1M, and free cash flow of -$5.1M (-115.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIIO closed FY2025 with $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $950.0K -$167.3M -$5.1M -$5.1M $8.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.0M -$172.5M $33.6M $33.4M $41.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $37.3M -$265.3M -$138.0M -$138.0M — —

3. AIIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (NASDAQ: AIIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $0.61 (-11.24% 1D, market cap $143.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIIO ranks #953 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIIO compare to NIU and LOT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AIIO carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NIU (Niu Technologies) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $141.2M) and LOT (Lotus Technology Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $252.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AIIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIIO?

Per AIIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001932737), Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) generated $950.0K in revenue (-92.1% YoY), -$167.3M in net income, and -$5.1M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIIO last traded at $0.61 (-11.24% on volume of 448,874 shares), positioning the stock -54.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.33) and -74.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.40). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $20.60, AIIO sits at the 0.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.69).

Direct Sub-Reports: AIIO RQD Cockpit AIIO 12M Forecast AIIO Earnings & Move AIIO Dividends & DRIP AIIO Insiders & 13F AIIO Whale Options AIIO Profit Sankey AIIO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AIIO — Robo.ai Inc. (Class B): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.61 (-11.24% 1D, market capitalization $143.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 62.5%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -3.14%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Manufacturing industry. Its market capitalization is listed at $0.2B in the profile. Reported gross margin is 62.5% while operating and net margins are each -60%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) reported $950.0K in annual revenue (up from $12.0M in FY2024, -92.1% YoY) and -$167.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($37.3M revenue, -$265.3M net income) through FY2025, AIIO scaled operating cash flow to -$5.1M and free cash flow to -$5.1M, backed by $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.14% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.54 – $20.60 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary / Auto Manufacturing. The cited composite-materials capacity item and the 2026 revenue outlook are news references only and are not linked to any supply-chain node in the source data. A prospective investor should treat any second-order ripple effect as unverified by the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can AIIO sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Auto Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $950.0K and free cash flow of -$5.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AIIO's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AIIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIIO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.78 (+27.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Recent news cites a September revenue figure above $100 Million and a 2026 outlook of about $600 Million.

Picked up a starter position in AIIO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $0.61. Recent news cites a September revenue figure above $100 Million and a 2026 outlook of about $600 Million.. Trading inside a $0.54–$20.60 52-week range with -3.14% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Auto Manufacturing multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 24/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.61 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.57.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.51 (-16.4%)
Spot @ $0.61

Reported revenue fell from $37.3M in FY 2023 to $0.9M in FY 2025 while ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is -3.14%.

Careful chasing AIIO at $0.61. Reported revenue fell from $37.3M in FY 2023 to $0.9M in FY 2025 while ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is -3.14%.. Gross margin is 62.5%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $0.51 on multiple compression.

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